For November 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here:
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/10/visa-bulletin-november-2013.html
For November 2013 Demand Data, please click here:
http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/10/november-2013-demand-data.html
As
many of you know FY 2013 ended on Sept 30 and FY 2014 started on Oct 1.
Spillovers are typically applied in last quarter of FY. Because of this
there can be large forward movement from July
to Oct VB.
Many of these forward movements continues in the next fiscal year to build pipeline of new cases. This helps Department of State get a good understanding of (future) demands.
Department of State (DOS) publishes the monthly visa bulletin and demand data.
The analysis below include November 2013 Visa Bulletin and November 2013 demand data. The latest I-485 pending inventory should be out in few weeks.
Demand data overview: The total visa available for all EB applicants in FY 2014 is 148,000 (instead of the usual 140,000). The extra 8,000 could be due to unused visas from family based category in FY 2013. We had mentioned this would happen on July 12 (
link see July 12 update).
Once the extra 8,000 spillovers from FB category is confirmed from independent sources, we will write a blog post on its distribution to all EB categories.
EB1: All
EB1 categories are current and should continue to
remain current atleast for next 6-8 months (if not more). Demand is
increasing at rate of around 1000 every month.
EB2 ROW: This
category continues to remain current. Surprisingly demand in EB2ROW is actually decreasing. This is good news
for EB2 India and China, as they could get a higher spillovers in FY
2014 compared to FY 2013.
EB2 China: As expected, EB2 China has started moving forward. It moved forward by 3 weeks and should continue to move forward.
EB2 India: EB2 India
did not move forward in this VB. As we had written earlier, DOS is holding the dates steady to get a good estimate of porting demand from EB3 India to EB2 India, as well as demand from original EB2 India applicants who are filing for the first time.
The latest EB2 India demand data does not have demand break down from year 2005 to 2008. It only says that the demand prior to Jan 2009 is 9,000. We will have to wait for I-495 pending inventory to get a good estimate of demand by each year.
Please see this
blog post for future updates in EB2 (India, ROW and China) category.