Thursday, July 24, 2014

Updated Visa Bulletin Predictions

The American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA) recently met again with Charles Oppenheim to discuss the demand and expected movements in various visa bulletin categories.

Charles Oppenheim is the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division within Department of State (DOS).

Please see the important details below:

F2A All Countries: F2A category has retrogressed to 15MAR11 for Mexico and 01MAY12 for all other countries. F2A category is expected to move forward as far as Fall 2012 in September or October visa bulletin.

EB3 China: This category which has retrogressed by around 6 years is expected to move forward to 01NOV08 in August visa bulletin. Note: This category already moved forward to this date in August visa bulletin.

Initially EB3 China had very low demand. After huge forward movement, the demand increased significantly (including people porting from EB2 China to EB3 China). This resulted in heavy retrogression. After the retrogression, the demand decreased significantly, in addition to low demand in family based category. This resulted in dates moving forward by around 2 years in EB3 China category.

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

PERM Processing Statistics As of June 2014

Monday, July 21, 2014

USCIS US Citizen I-129F, I-130 & I-485 Processing Statistics As Of 04/30/14

Please see below latest US Citizen Beneficiary Statistics released by USCIS:

USCIS I-130 - Immediate Relative Category Processing Statistics:

CSC VSC National
All Other Pending 3,856 30,399 280,908
Customer action waiting 9,652 3,839 24,272
Completed 6,947 3,061 60,371
New receipts 752 5,219 52,760

CSC = California Service Center 
VSC = Vermont Service Center 
USCIS I-129F Processing Statistics:

CSC VSC National
All Other Pending 2,897 647 15,113
Customer action waiting 1,654 98 2,127
Completed 2,732 160 4,058
New receipts 1,915 113 4,544

USCIS I-485 Processing Statistics: 

Friday, July 18, 2014

USCIS FB I-485 & I-130 Processing Statistics As Of 04/30/14

Please see below latest FB (family based) statistics released by USCIS:

USCIS I-130 - Preference Category Processing Statistics

 CSC VSC NSC National
All Other Pending 2,202 8,903 1,005 13,205
Pending but adjudication deferred 358,505 130,718 4,013 497,479
Customer action waiting 13,956 3,663 340 18,052
Completed 19,279 4,264 1,130 25,705
New receipts 20,505 5,389 734 26,797

Volume in Texas Service Center (TSC) is currently low.

CSC = California Service Center
VSC = Vermont Service Center
NSC = Nebraska Service Center
USCIS FB I-485 Processing Statistics

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

USCIS EB I-140 and I-485 Processing Statistics As Of 04/30/14

USCIS EB I-140 Processing Statistics 

 TSC NSC National
Pending 12,794 10,399 23,249
Customer Action Wait 919 704 1,623
Completed 4,400 3,119 7,521
New Receipt 4,312 3,103 7,415

The volume of cases in nearly all categories above increased at both NSC and TSC in the last one month.

USCIS EB I-485 Processing Statistics

Saturday, July 12, 2014

September 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions

For August 2014 Visa Bulletin, please click here:

Please see September 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions below (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:

Please Note: These numbers include the 10,000 additional unused visas from FB category to EB category. It would not be available in the next visa bulletin.

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 15MAY07 15MAY07 15MAY07 15MAY94 01NOV04
F2A 08NOV12 08NOV12 08NOV12 15MAR12 08NOV12
F2B 22AUG07 22AUG07 22AUG07 08JUN94 15NOV03
F3 08DEC03 08DEC03 08DEC03 01OCT93 08MAY93
F4 15JAN02 15JAN02 15JAN02 15JAN97 22FEB91

Employment Based:

Thursday, July 10, 2014

August 2014 Visa Bulletin Analysis

For August 2014 Visa Bulletin, please click here:

Please see below analysis of August 2014 Visa Bulletin:

EB1: All EB1 categories are current and should continue to remain current for fiscal year. Demand continues to be around 1000-1200 every month (per the latest pending inventory).

EB2 ROW: This category continues to remain current. Demand in EB2ROW continues to be very low at an average of around 300 per month. 

EB2 China: EB2 China moved forward by more than 2 months. It should continue to move forward around 3 to 5 weeks per month

EB2 India: The third biggest jump was in EB2 India category which moved forward by around 4.5 months.  We have added a blog post exclusive to EB2 India movement in fiscal year 2014. Based on those estimates, EB2 India should continue to move forward till around April 2009, unless applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India increases dramatically (which is possible, since they have been waiting in EB3 India category for more than a decade)

If the porting rate from EB3 India increases at very high rate, DOS may decide to retrogress EB2 India category in the September 2014 visa bulletin, so that allotted visas do no exceed available quota. At this time, retrogression for EB2 India in September visa bulletin is not expected. Also please see this blog post for updates in EB2 (India, ROW and China) category.