Saturday, November 9, 2013

USCIS Visa Bulletin Prediction For January 2014 - March 2014

For December 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/11/december-2013-visa-bulletin.html

Department of State (DOS) added their prediction for visa bulletin in coming months. Please see the link below.

We will be adding a separate blog post for visa bulletin prediction for fiscal year 2014.

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:
  • F1:  Three to five weeks
  • F2A: No forward movement, the Mexico cut-off date is likely to retrogress at some point
  • F2B: Three to five weeks
  • F3:  Three to five weeks
  • F4:  Two or three weeks

EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)

Employment First:  Current

Employment Second:
  • Worldwide:  Current
  • China:  Three to five weeks 
  • India:  No forward movement

Employment Third:
  • Worldwide:  This cut-off date has been advanced extremely rapidly during the past seven months in an effort to generate new demand.  As the rate of applicants who are able to have action on their cases finalized increases, it could have a significant impact on the cut-off date situation.  The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February.
  • China:        Expected to remain at the worldwide date
  • India:        No forward movement
  • Mexico:       Expected to remain at the worldwide date
  • Philippines:  Three to six weeks

Employment Fourth: Current

Employment Fifth:  Current

The above projections for the Family and Employment categories are for what is likely to happen during each of the next few months based on current applicant demand patterns.

Readers should never assume that recent trends in cut-off date movements are guaranteed for the future, or that "corrective" action will not be required at some point in an effort to maintain number use within the applicable annual limits.

The determination of the actual monthly cut-off dates is subject to fluctuations in applicant demand and a number of other variables.  Unless indicated, those categories with a "Current" projection will remain so for the foreseeable future.

RETROGRESSION OF EMPLOYMENT CUT-OFF DATES

The India Employment Second and Third preference category cut-off dates were advanced very rapidly at the end of fiscal year 2013. Those movements were based strictly on the availability of thousands of "otherwise unused" numbers which could be made available without regard to the preference per-country annual limits.

The movements have resulted in a dramatic increase in the level of applicant demand received in recent months. This has required the retrogression of those cut-off dates for December in an effort to hold number use within the numerical limits.

62 comments:

  1. First - thanks for all the effort you are putting into this site.
    regarding the EB3ROW saying "The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February" - would that mean that they expect Jan14 bulletin to go 11-12 months forward, maybe a bit less, then on Feb continue with "normal" month progress every bulletin, or do they mean that Jan14 would have some minor forward movement, and then Feb-Sep no movement, or even retrogression?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My guess would be smaller forward movements instead of one big movement and then possible retrogression.

      Delete
  2. I really wish DOS publishes the Demand data for FB categories. That way it would be easier to guesstimate about dates for entire 2014.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Not satisfied withfamily based movement

    ReplyDelete
  4. until when do you think f2a will remain at it's current date amazon?and if it will retrogress,how far?thank you!

    ReplyDelete
  5. When you say " The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February." Do you mean the rapid movement will stop, and the regular 3 weeks/month movement will comtinue, or do you mean it will completely block or retrogress? I know it's hard to say, but can you please give me your best bet? I am March 2012 EB3 ROW, Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi, I think you will be current in next two vb

      Delete
    2. I certainly hope so! :)

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    3. I am not sure, I think the demand will be super high now. I know many friends who became current in this move. There is a huge backlog here because this was immediately after recession and companies were holding back from applying to all employees since 2008

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    4. The actual forward movement will depend on demand in each category. We will have to wait for updated data from USCIS.

      Delete
  6. Hi

    Does anyone know when Dec 2012 will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. without providing your country and category, no one can answer your question.

      Delete

  7. AnonymousNovember 12, 2013 at 6:44 AM

    Hi

    Does anyone know when Dec 2012 will be current?
    Reply

    Replies






    AnonymousNovember 12, 2013 at 11:09 AM

    without providing your country and category, no one can answer your question.

    -------------------------
    -------------------------

    Thanks for your reply...

    I am on EB3
    Country Kuwait
    Priority Date Dec 2012

    Thanks again

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hello Friends - Iam from EB3 row(Indonesia) with PD of Feb 2013 . Would anyone predict when i could be current considering the Dec2013 visa bulletin ,it is Oct2011.

    Thank you all for taking the time to respond .

    Thanks,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. WE will have to wait for updated data from USCIS.

      Delete
  9. Message to lander

    You will be current on Jan 2014

    http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/11/january-2014-visa-bulletin-predictions.html


    Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
    1st C C C C C
    2nd C 15DEC08 15NOV04 C C
    3rd 01FEB12 01FEB12 01SEP03 01FEB12 08FEB07
    Other Workers 01FEB12 01FEB12 01SEP03 01FEB12 08FEB07
    4th C C C C C
    Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
    5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi.how about with eb3 phils pd oct2007?When do u think wud become current? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As of this time, it would be very difficult to prognosticate all the way to that date. If you look at the EB3-Philippines I-485 pending inventory, they haven't even fully accounted for all the applications submitted from August, 2007 onwards.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous - To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  11. Friend who responded to Lander :-

    As per the link "http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/11/january-2014-visa-bulletin-predictions.html" , Jan2014 EB3 row is defined as "01FEB12" .
    But my Priority date is at FEB2013.

    Wanted to understand ,when will my PD of FEB2013 be current .

    Thank you for your time and concern.

    Thanks,

    ReplyDelete
  12. To Lander... Im sorry.. I guessed I messed up. yes it is 2012 and not 2013

    ReplyDelete
  13. Hi, my priority date is EB3 Mexico July 2012, do you think I can be current in february 2014?

    ReplyDelete
  14. I am ROW with PD 2009, application submitted end of Sep. Can I have green Christmas? I hope that EB 3 ROW application will get huge approval numbers in Dec as Indies will retrogress.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I submitted my I485 beginning of Sept. ( EB3 ROW ), I only got my I485 approval yesterday ( Jan 2 2014 ). Have friends in EB2 ROW who got their GC's in hand, in < 2 months.

      Delete
  15. Hope tis helps..


    http://www.murthy.com/2013/10/25/fiscal-year-2014-visa-bulletin-predictions/


    Employment Based, Third Preference (EB3): Worldwide, China, and Mexico

    The EB3 worldwide category advanced considerably in FY13, and this is expected to continue in FY14. The DOS says it is necessary to generate new filings in the EB3 worldwide category. Thus, it is expected that there will be advancement of the cutoff date by up to a year in the December 2013 Visa Bulletin. The DOS further expects to be able to continue to advance the cutoff date, although less dramatically, in January, February, and possibly, March 2014. EB3 cutoff dates for China and Mexico will match the worldwide cutoff date.


    http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/11/uscis-visa-bulletin-prediction-for.html

    Employment Third:

    Worldwide: This cut-off date has been advanced extremely rapidly during the past seven months in an effort to generate new demand. As the rate of applicants who are able to have action on their cases finalized increases, it could have a significant impact on the cut-off date situation. The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February.

    ReplyDelete
  16. I can't wait for Dec 1

    ReplyDelete
  17. Hi I have PD as 24 Sep 2013 for F2A category and country is Nepal. As it is mentioned that F2A date will not move for couple months. I will appreciate if anyone can suggest estimated date for my process to start based on current trend.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will have to wait for more data from USCIS to estimate movement in the F2A category.

      Delete
    2. My PD is in 6 Nov. Will you be able to provide estimate date for my process to start based on current trend?

      Delete
  18. Hi! Is there a poosibility that EB3 PHIL. WITH PD OCTOBER 19,2007 BE CURRENT BY SEPTEMBER 2014 VISA BULLETIN? THANK YOU!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It could be mate or before that date!

      Delete
    2. Do you mean it could be May or before that? thank you!

      Delete
    3. Mate is the Australian slang for friend. So he/she is saying it could be current by then or earlier than that.

      Delete
  19. Hi amazon, how about the pd december 2007 in eb3 philis.could it be current on Dec.2014?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  20. My PD is June 2005 in EB3 India. Any comments on that one..Thx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  21. "The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date should not be expected to continue beyond February."

    Do you mean beyond February 2012? or beyond the incoming February's bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It could mean February VB for this category.

      Delete
  22. My PD is July 2, 2007 - EB3 Philippines. Can you give an estimation when it will be current. Thanks...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  23. My PD is June 14, 2007. Any predictions?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  24. My PD is June 7, 2007 EB3 Phil.. Any predictions? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  25. Amazon Good Day! I need to renew my working by September 2014 .My Pd SEPT.2,2007 EB3 PHIL. Is there any chance that I will be current before by September 2014?
    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  26. Can anybody shed light on EB3 for India. My pd is Oct 22, 2003. Would it be current in the next couple of months? The priority date moved back from Sep 22, 2003 to Sep 1, 2003 and I am hoping it will move forward.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We may have to wait for more data for EB3 India movement.

      Delete
    2. Thank you for your reply.

      Delete
  27. Unfavor with EB3 India. My PD is July 2006. I'm waiting from a long time ago. Please PD moves forward.

    ReplyDelete
  28. How Long will it take receipts of I-485 After filing it on December 2013

    ReplyDelete
  29. How much retrogression is expected in future regarding eb-3 row?

    ReplyDelete
  30. Does any one can tell me when Dec-2004 for F4 category will become current. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. in continuation above for Pakistan

      Delete
  31. with 3-6 weeks movement of EB3 Philippines, Is that until fiscal year this year or until Dec. 2014?

    ReplyDelete
  32. Im hoping until Dec 2014....

    ReplyDelete
  33. Hi Amozon, My PD August 2006 EB3 in India. Please let me know, How long wait for it? Please give me answer.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Hi Amazon,I have been petitioned by my US citizen parent.My priority date is February 2007 (F1 family preference category-ROW).I checked visa bulletin and my priority date should be current soon.I have three small kids and they are listed on my petition as dependents.My kids will not be able to travel and stay in the USA without their mother.My question is, what is the best (earliest) way i can get the mother of my children to travel with us? My petitioner told me that when i attend my visa interview to tell the interviewing officer that i would like the mother of my kids to join us,and the officer will tell me to get married to my partner and send in my marriage certificate.They will then process my wife's papers and she will get to join us on the petition.We will then be reschedule for another interview within three months and get to travel together.Did my petitioner got it right?Please help me with some answers if this is not correct. Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  35. Thanks for putting together great site.

    My priority date is Sep 20, 2003 from EB3 India. Would it be current in the next couple of months? The priority date moved back from Sep 22, 2003 to Sep 1, 2003 and I am hoping it will move forward.

    Thanks again.

    ReplyDelete
  36. Your mygvisa calculator does not go beyond 2007, our PD is April 15, 2008...when can it possibly become current....eb3Philippines

    ReplyDelete
  37. Do you foresee BE3 ROW to retrogress in 2014? if so approximately when will it retrogress ?

    ReplyDelete

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