Wednesday, January 22, 2014

EB3 Philippines: Fiscal Year 2014 Movement

One of the readers asked me about EB3 Philippines movement in 2014.

I did some number crunching and it looks like EB3 Philippines could have a big jump forward by around 8-12 months around April or May VB. It could continue to move forward another 4-6 months total in the next few VB's.

This is based on expected spillovers from both EB and FB category as well as other factors typically applied by USCIS/DOS to calculate visa bulletin movement.

These numbers are based on around 4 months old data (I-485 pending inventory with Oct 1 data and November 2013 demand data based on Oct 8 data). The latest inventory could give more accurate data and hence expected forward movement in all EB categories.

USCIS does not release either I-485 pending inventory or demand data for FB category.

Update (March 17):

Per the latest data from USCIS, I am still expecting  a jump of around of around 4-8 months in EB3 Philippines category. This jump can occur between May and July 2014 visa bulletin.

59 comments:

  1. AnonymousJanuary 22, 2014 at 12:57 AM

    God is good,really good news for Philippines.Thank you so much amazon God bless you.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousJanuary 22, 2014 at 1:19 AM

    Thank you so much Amazon for considering EB3 Phils. to your blog.This is truly a relief for us waiting.God bless you always

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousJanuary 22, 2014 at 1:49 AM

    Thank you so much Amazon! God bless you and the Philippines! ;}

    ReplyDelete
  4. AnonymousJanuary 22, 2014 at 3:23 AM

    A very big leap indeed for EB3 PH.Thanks FYI

    gts PD 01/05/07

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousJanuary 22, 2014 at 6:18 AM

    thank you so much amazon. God is good all the time!

    ReplyDelete
  6. AmazonJanuary 22, 2014 at 8:05 PM

    Thank you everyone. Please note that this is based on 4+ months old data. As most of you know, demand changes every month; so this could change.

    If demand continues at the slower rate, it would definitely move forward by many months in next few VBs.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousMarch 13, 2014 at 9:56 AM

      Hi, based on the new I-485 pending inventory as of January 2014, what's the update on this article?

      Delete
  7. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2014 at 7:10 AM

    Thank u so mch amazon for taking this time. I would also like to ask what will happen if the demand starts to rise in th next data, will it still move 8 to 12 months in april and may?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AmazonFebruary 5, 2014 at 8:26 PM

      As you know, it would depend on how much it rises. If it exceeds the quota of 2,802, the increase would be much smaller.

      Delete
  8. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2014 at 8:42 AM

    Thank you so much Amazon. This give us hope!

    ReplyDelete
  9. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2014 at 5:07 PM

    i hope....


    ReplyDelete
  10. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2014 at 9:06 PM

    Don't forget to pray because prayers can move mountains.Praying for a positive outcome to all of us.

    ReplyDelete
  11. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2014 at 11:48 PM

    Amazon is Amazing ! Thanks & God bless...

    ReplyDelete
  12. AnonymousJanuary 24, 2014 at 2:25 AM

    Hi guys,my pd is 10/07. When do i expect notice from nvc? Tnx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousJanuary 24, 2014 at 12:08 PM

      Try to check GCcalculator ,its a big help.

      Delete
  13. AnonymousJanuary 26, 2014 at 3:56 AM

    Republican party mentioned that they will increase highly-skilled workers visa on their bill to be introduce soon.Is EB3 considered as highly-skilled or only EB1&EB2 visas.Please clarify.Can EB3 also increase?Thank you very much.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AmazonFebruary 5, 2014 at 8:29 PM

      It would depend on the fine prints on that bill. Each bill may unique define what is highly skilled. In some bill it may only include EB1 and EB2.

      PS: Do not rely on this bill. Since elections is coming near, there would be lots of talk about immigration (from both party). But unless they both agree, they would not pass bills in both House and Senate.

      Delete
    2. AnonymousFebruary 11, 2014 at 7:30 AM

      Clarification accepted

      Delete
  14. AnonymousJanuary 26, 2014 at 5:36 PM

    june 6 2007 akong pd date... hope sana ma current na

    ReplyDelete
  15. AnonymousJanuary 28, 2014 at 7:03 PM

    current nanka hapit bai. God Speed.

    ReplyDelete
  16. AnonymousFebruary 12, 2014 at 10:57 PM

    One one for Amazon's contribution to this site, SUPERB!!! Keep it up Amazon.

    ReplyDelete
  17. cooking through lifeMarch 13, 2014 at 2:35 AM

    Amazon thank you for all your info. Am I reading it right? It's 8-12 months movement and not weeks? Omg....our wait is finally over. Pd is January 2008

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AmazonMarch 17, 2014 at 11:42 PM

      Hey there, I have updated the blog post with new data.

      Delete
    2. AnonymousMarch 18, 2014 at 2:57 AM

      Thank you so much amazon you are great.God bless you...

      Delete
  18. AnonymousMarch 17, 2014 at 12:34 AM

    That was amazon's prediction 2 mos ago. But lets cross our fingers for the big forward movement in eb3 ph. May God bless us all.

    ReplyDelete
  19. AnonymousMarch 20, 2014 at 7:26 AM

    Salamat amazon for the update. I'm positive i will be current very soon, pd is oct 2007. God speed to everyone.

    ReplyDelete
  20. AnonymousMarch 20, 2014 at 8:03 AM

    PD is Dec 2007...the long wait will be finally over if the predictions are true.We'll keep on praying.God bless us all!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousApril 9, 2014 at 8:58 PM

      M also excited..mine is jan2008..God bless to both of us..!=)
      K25

      Delete
  21. AnonymousMarch 22, 2014 at 7:20 PM

    Amazon, any update? Also on the CIR - u think it will still push through? My PD is July 2011, still soooo far.

    ReplyDelete
  22. AnonymousMarch 23, 2014 at 3:52 PM

    Tnx amazon for the update. Hoping the prediction woukd become reality, may 2013 is my pd

    ReplyDelete
  23. AnonymousApril 9, 2014 at 8:55 PM

    Thanks amazon for the update. My pd is jan2008..so im praying that my pd will be current soon..just wondered when would that be..because the gc calculator is still basing from april2014 and not on may2014..thank u and more power!=)
    K25

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousMay 16, 2014 at 9:05 PM

      Clearly it will be current. Be ready for it.

      Delete
  24. AnonymousApril 9, 2014 at 11:43 PM

    How about the next visa bulletin? Could there be another leap?

    ReplyDelete
  25. AnonymousApril 10, 2014 at 3:05 PM

    Sept 2009 eb3 phil..will it be current this year? Thanks...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousMay 16, 2014 at 9:06 PM

      I don't think so..

      Delete
    2. CutangcawayanJune 1, 2014 at 11:51 AM

      If current trend of movement will continue, maybe ur PD will be current by mid of 2015...

      Delete
    3. AnonymousJuly 8, 2014 at 10:28 AM

      you guys are so negative.. God can move mountains.. see how the leap of PD happened? from Jan 2008 to Jan 2009.. if August VB comes out in few days... your Sep 2009 might be current before the end of 2014!!

      Delete
    4. AnonymousJuly 8, 2014 at 7:05 PM

      See? Now it's June 2010!! Don't underestimate the power of prayers.

      Delete
  26. AnonymousApril 11, 2014 at 3:22 AM

    WHAT ABOUT DEC. 2008 PD FOR EB3 PHILS?

    ReplyDelete
  27. AnonymousApril 19, 2014 at 11:42 PM

    Thanks for the information really hoping to be able to file this yr.

    ReplyDelete
  28. AnonymousMay 15, 2014 at 1:58 AM

    hi amazon, my priority date is Jan 9, 2008. Does that mean I'm going to file I-485? How can I file that? My employer hasn't contacted me since last year. Please enlighten with this matter so that I can prepare for the necessary things to do. thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  29. AnonymousMay 17, 2014 at 11:07 PM

    My pd is aug 2008, will it be current on july 2014?

    ReplyDelete
  30. clapicusreinMay 21, 2014 at 10:33 AM

    Will pd september 2008 be current this year? Eb3 Philippines... pls respond.. ty

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AnonymousJune 17, 2014 at 5:59 PM

      Hello! I believe ur pd is current. Pls keep us posted ur date of medical and interview by sending me an email at emerson002@yahoo.com. Our pd is april 2009. God bless us all. Tnx

      Delete
  31. AnonymousMay 21, 2014 at 11:35 PM

    Hello amazon. My pd is aug 2008, eb3 philippines...will it be current this year? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  32. maebossAugust 13, 2014 at 11:56 AM

    when do you think eb3 will have a pd of january 2014? thank you so much!!!

    ReplyDelete
  33. AnonymousAugust 16, 2014 at 7:49 AM

    Hi, my pd is January 2010, current for the aug visa bulletin, when will i receive notice from nvc? Do i need to call them or is it too early pa?

    ReplyDelete
  34. AnonymousAugust 18, 2014 at 9:52 AM

    I called nvc today, they already mailed the visa processing fee bill to my atty last week :) good thing i called, i just wonder, it should be ds260 ds261 first right?

    ReplyDelete
  35. AnonymousOctober 30, 2014 at 1:04 AM

    hi my priority date is may 17 2007. F2B Philippines. when do I expect from nvc? thank you.pls reply..,

    ReplyDelete
  36. AnonymousApril 17, 2015 at 8:09 PM

    Nag retrogress ulet... kainis.

    ReplyDelete

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