Wednesday, January 22, 2014

EB3 Philippines: Fiscal Year 2014 Movement

One of the readers asked me about EB3 Philippines movement in 2014.

I did some number crunching and it looks like EB3 Philippines could have a big jump forward by around 8-12 months around April or May VB. It could continue to move forward another 4-6 months total in the next few VB's.

This is based on expected spillovers from both EB and FB category as well as other factors typically applied by USCIS/DOS to calculate visa bulletin movement.

These numbers are based on around 4 months old data (I-485 pending inventory with Oct 1 data and November 2013 demand data based on Oct 8 data). The latest inventory could give more accurate data and hence expected forward movement in all EB categories.

USCIS does not release either I-485 pending inventory or demand data for FB category.

Update (March 17):

Per the latest data from USCIS, I am still expecting  a jump of around of around 4-8 months in EB3 Philippines category. This jump can occur between May and July 2014 visa bulletin.

59 comments:

  1. God is good,really good news for Philippines.Thank you so much amazon God bless you.

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  2. Thank you so much Amazon for considering EB3 Phils. to your blog.This is truly a relief for us waiting.God bless you always

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  3. Thank you so much Amazon! God bless you and the Philippines! ;}

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  4. A very big leap indeed for EB3 PH.Thanks FYI

    gts PD 01/05/07

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  5. thank you so much amazon. God is good all the time!

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  6. Thank you everyone. Please note that this is based on 4+ months old data. As most of you know, demand changes every month; so this could change.

    If demand continues at the slower rate, it would definitely move forward by many months in next few VBs.

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    Replies
    1. Hi, based on the new I-485 pending inventory as of January 2014, what's the update on this article?

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  7. Thank u so mch amazon for taking this time. I would also like to ask what will happen if the demand starts to rise in th next data, will it still move 8 to 12 months in april and may?

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    Replies
    1. As you know, it would depend on how much it rises. If it exceeds the quota of 2,802, the increase would be much smaller.

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  8. Thank you so much Amazon. This give us hope!

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  9. Don't forget to pray because prayers can move mountains.Praying for a positive outcome to all of us.

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  10. Amazon is Amazing ! Thanks & God bless...

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  11. Hi guys,my pd is 10/07. When do i expect notice from nvc? Tnx

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    Replies
    1. Try to check GCcalculator ,its a big help.

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  12. Republican party mentioned that they will increase highly-skilled workers visa on their bill to be introduce soon.Is EB3 considered as highly-skilled or only EB1&EB2 visas.Please clarify.Can EB3 also increase?Thank you very much.

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    1. It would depend on the fine prints on that bill. Each bill may unique define what is highly skilled. In some bill it may only include EB1 and EB2.

      PS: Do not rely on this bill. Since elections is coming near, there would be lots of talk about immigration (from both party). But unless they both agree, they would not pass bills in both House and Senate.

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    2. Clarification accepted

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  13. june 6 2007 akong pd date... hope sana ma current na

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  14. current nanka hapit bai. God Speed.

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  15. One one for Amazon's contribution to this site, SUPERB!!! Keep it up Amazon.

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  16. Amazon thank you for all your info. Am I reading it right? It's 8-12 months movement and not weeks? Omg....our wait is finally over. Pd is January 2008

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    Replies
    1. Hey there, I have updated the blog post with new data.

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    2. Thank you so much amazon you are great.God bless you...

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  17. That was amazon's prediction 2 mos ago. But lets cross our fingers for the big forward movement in eb3 ph. May God bless us all.

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  18. Salamat amazon for the update. I'm positive i will be current very soon, pd is oct 2007. God speed to everyone.

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  19. PD is Dec 2007...the long wait will be finally over if the predictions are true.We'll keep on praying.God bless us all!

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    Replies
    1. M also excited..mine is jan2008..God bless to both of us..!=)
      K25

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  20. Amazon, any update? Also on the CIR - u think it will still push through? My PD is July 2011, still soooo far.

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  21. Tnx amazon for the update. Hoping the prediction woukd become reality, may 2013 is my pd

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  22. Thanks amazon for the update. My pd is jan2008..so im praying that my pd will be current soon..just wondered when would that be..because the gc calculator is still basing from april2014 and not on may2014..thank u and more power!=)
    K25

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    Replies
    1. Clearly it will be current. Be ready for it.

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  23. How about the next visa bulletin? Could there be another leap?

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  24. Sept 2009 eb3 phil..will it be current this year? Thanks...

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    Replies
    1. I don't think so..

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    2. If current trend of movement will continue, maybe ur PD will be current by mid of 2015...

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    3. you guys are so negative.. God can move mountains.. see how the leap of PD happened? from Jan 2008 to Jan 2009.. if August VB comes out in few days... your Sep 2009 might be current before the end of 2014!!

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    4. See? Now it's June 2010!! Don't underestimate the power of prayers.

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  25. WHAT ABOUT DEC. 2008 PD FOR EB3 PHILS?

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  26. Thanks for the information really hoping to be able to file this yr.

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  27. hi amazon, my priority date is Jan 9, 2008. Does that mean I'm going to file I-485? How can I file that? My employer hasn't contacted me since last year. Please enlighten with this matter so that I can prepare for the necessary things to do. thank you.

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  28. My pd is aug 2008, will it be current on july 2014?

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  29. Will pd september 2008 be current this year? Eb3 Philippines... pls respond.. ty

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    Replies
    1. Hello! I believe ur pd is current. Pls keep us posted ur date of medical and interview by sending me an email at emerson002@yahoo.com. Our pd is april 2009. God bless us all. Tnx

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  30. Hello amazon. My pd is aug 2008, eb3 philippines...will it be current this year? Thanks!

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  31. when do you think eb3 will have a pd of january 2014? thank you so much!!!

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  32. Hi, my pd is January 2010, current for the aug visa bulletin, when will i receive notice from nvc? Do i need to call them or is it too early pa?

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  33. I called nvc today, they already mailed the visa processing fee bill to my atty last week :) good thing i called, i just wonder, it should be ds260 ds261 first right?

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  34. hi my priority date is may 17 2007. F2B Philippines. when do I expect from nvc? thank you.pls reply..,

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  35. Nag retrogress ulet... kainis.

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