Thursday, December 11, 2014

January 2015 Visa Bulletin Analysis

For January 2015 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/12/january-2015-visa-bulletin.html

Please see below analysis of January 2015 Visa Bulletin:

EB1: All EB1 categories are current and should continue to remain current for fiscal year. Demand continues to be around 1200-1400 every month (per the latest pending inventory).

EB2 ROW: This category continues to remain current. Demand in EB2ROW continues to be very low at an average of around 800 per month. 

EB2 China: EB2 China moved forward by 4 weeks in this visa bulletin. It is likely to continue to move forward around 3 to 5 weeks per month.

EB2 India: Also as expected, EB2 India category did not move forward after retrogressing in previous visa bulletin to 15FEB05. We had earlier posted a blog post that EB2 India quota has been used up for fiscal year 2014. This category may not move forward for the next few months.

We have added a blog post exclusive to EB2 India movement in fiscal year 2014. As many of you expected, retrogression was expected in November due to large demand from (a) applicants porting from EB3 India to EB2 India  (since they have been waiting in EB3 India category for more than a decade) and (b) applicants who are filing I-485 for the first time.

Also please see this blog post for updates in EB2 (India, ROW and China) category.

EB3 ROW: EB3 ROW had another big jump in this visa bulletin. It moved forward by 7 months, after moving forward by 5 months in the last visa bulletin. This category is expected to advance rapidly for the next few months.

EB3 China: EB3 China also had also had a very big jump in this visa bulletin. It moved forward by 9 months, after moving forward by 5 months in last visa bulletin . In  August 2014 visa bulletin, it had the biggest jump and moved forward by more than 2 years.

EB3 China is expected to continue to be ahead of EB2 China till atleast February 2015 visa bulletin.

EB3 China Other workers category did not move forward.

EB3 Mexico: Similar to EB3 ROW category, EB3 Mexico category also moved forward by 7 months, after moving by 5 months in last visa bulletin.

Dates for EB3 Mexico should continue to be same as EB3 ROW.

EB3 India: EB3 India category moved forward by 2 week. Due to high demand, this category is expected to move forward by 1-2 week in the next visa bulletin. The good news is that many applicants would be porting from EB3 India to EB2 India.

Hence the demand in EB3 India will decrease which will result in dates moving forward at faster speed. Currently USCIS cannot count identify porters to EB2 and hence they are calculated twice resulting in increase demand. However due to heavy retrogression in EB2 India, very few applicants would be porting from EB3 India to EB2 India.

EB3 Philippines: EB3 Philippines had another big jump. This category moved forward by 7 months. It also moved forward by 5 months in the last visa bulletin. This category is likely to continue to move forward in the next few months, and dates are expected to remain the same as the EB3ROW and EB3 Mexico categories.

Please see this blog post for future updates in EB3 categories.

EB4: This category continues to remain current.

EB5: This category continues to remain current.

Demand in EB4 and EB5 is currently very low per the latest I-485 pending inventory. Hence EB2 category (especially EB2 India) can expect a bigger spillover in FY 2015.

Family Categories:

F1 Category: F1 Philippines category moved forward by 1 weeks. F1 ROW/China and India moved forward by 2 weeks. F1 Mexico also moved forward by 4 weeks.

F2A Category: As expected, there was another forward movement in this category.  F2A Mexico moved forward by 7 weeks. All other countries moved forward by 3 weeks. Please see article for more details for FB categories.

F2B Category: F2B ROW, China and India moved forward by 5 weeks. F2B Mexico moved forward by 4 weeks and F2B Philippines categories moved forward by 2 weeks.

F3 Category: F3 ROW, China and India moved forward by 1 week. Philippines moved forward by 2 week. Mexico category also moved forward by 4 week.

F4 Category: F4 ROW, China and India also moved forward by 4 weeks. Philippines moved forward by 6 weeks. Mexico category moved forward by 3 week.

If you have not done it yet, please remember to add your case data to GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/ tracker/

If your application has been sent to NVC, please see this blog post.

Tip: Charles Oppenheim creates and publishes the monthly visa bulletin. He works at Department of State (DOS) and is the Chief of "Visa Control and Reporting Division".


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22 comments:

  1. Unbelievablely slow ! Only god helps us !

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. God doesn't know math so he won't help you. If you are already in line, just be patient as there is absolutely nothing you can do.

      Delete
    2. Yes! Something else they can do ! They can use unused visas of yeas ago ! If they know math and do care about us !!

      Delete
    3. ah ah ah ha ha ha you guys funny.....

      Delete
  2. They made current in 2013. After they stuck with September 2013 . They didn't finish work on time. They have to improve their employees skills.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Alguien que tenga alguna informacion, De cuando estara f2a para mexico,PD. 30/10/2013 alguna informacio, GRACIAS.

    ReplyDelete
  4. my od is july 2006 in eb3 india. i'm waiting more than a decade. how much i keep patience. it is enough improve ur immigration process in visa nuletin

    ReplyDelete
  5. DO NOT bother them since they are thinking about illegal people and their protection.

    ReplyDelete
  6. If illegal immigrants reform didn't pass . They hBill.o pass Bill.

    ReplyDelete
  7. If they didn't pass illegal immigrants reform. They have to pass Bill for improving immigration system.

    ReplyDelete
  8. https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/why-should-permanent-resident-wait-two-years-make-f2a-f2a-category-current-2013-they-made-current-so/Zb87YpmF


    Sign please nd share your friends

    ReplyDelete
  9. so happy to be current in this VB (EB3 ROW category) though i wished it happened sooner so i could keep my job...

    ReplyDelete
  10. Slow movement for F2A, I meant minimum movement is 3 weeks because heavy demand vs limit supply. According to stats, around 200,000 demands vs 80,000 visa limit supply per year. Thats why people should wait almost 2 years to get their visas.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Prediction for F2A in Feb will be 3 weeks. The movement will be faster in the end of FY, I meant in last three months of FY. Hopefully, in FY 2015 they can clear all applicants in 2013.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Maybe They will finish around June or July .

      Delete
  12. My Pd F2A is August 17th 2013 and I am still getting in line, it has been 16 months already.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Come on guys. There are thousands of us suffering because of F2A backlog situation. I just got one response for my post. This shows how inactive we are to address the issue we are facing. Please post your views lets sign the petition and start writing to the congressmen. Please post yes after you sign the petition.

    https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/why-should-permanent-resident-wait-two-years-make-f2a-f2a-category-current-2013-they-made-current-so/Zb87YpmF

    ReplyDelete
  14. HOUSE, SENATE GOP LEADERS GEARING UP TO PASS IMMIGRATION INNOVATION ACT OF 2013 in january or february 2015

    These are the changes includes in the act
    Immigrant Visas and Green Cards
     Enable the recapture of green card numbers that were approved by Congress in previous years but
    were not used
     Exempt certain categories of persons from the employment-based green card cap:
    o Dependents of employment-based immigrant visa recipients
    o U.S. STEM advance degree holders
    o Persons with extraordinary ability
    o Outstanding professors and researchers
     Provide for the roll-over of unused employment-based immigrant visa numbers to the following fiscal
    year so future visas are not lost due to bureaucratic delays
     Eliminate annual per-country limits for employment based visa petitioners and adjust per-country caps
    for family-based immigrant visas

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/12/12/House-Senate-GOP-Leaders-Gearing-Up-to-Increase-Guest-Worker-Permits-for-Foreigners

    This bill be able to eliminate all backlogs in F2A category

    ReplyDelete
  15. HOUSE, SENATE GOP LEADERS GEARING UP TO PASS IMMIGRATION INNOVATION ACT OF 2013 in january or february 2015

    These are the changes includes in the act
    Immigrant Visas and Green Cards
     Enable the recapture of green card numbers that were approved by Congress in previous years but
    were not used
     Exempt certain categories of persons from the employment-based green card cap:
    o Dependents of employment-based immigrant visa recipients
    o U.S. STEM advance degree holders
    o Persons with extraordinary ability
    o Outstanding professors and researchers
     Provide for the roll-over of unused employment-based immigrant visa numbers to the following fiscal
    year so future visas are not lost due to bureaucratic delays
     Eliminate annual per-country limits for employment based visa petitioners and adjust per-country caps
    for family-based immigrant visas

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/12/12/House-Senate-GOP-Leaders-Gearing-Up-to-Increase-Guest-Worker-Permits-for-Foreigners

    ReplyDelete
  16. Immigration Reform 2014 News: Republicans Plan to Introduce Immigration Reform Bills in January 2015

    http://www.latinpost.com/articles/27237/20141206/republicans-plan-introduce-immigration-reform-bills-2015.htm

    ReplyDelete
  17. do something for legal immigrates. we r waiting a decade. please improve ur system. please clear backlog Eb3 India. Republican first think for legal immigrants. we r stuck in here. my kids don't know about my home country system. please remove backlog eb3 india. Only eb3 india is suffering.

    ReplyDelete
  18. For the ROW F1's, can we request to be moved back into F2B?

    ReplyDelete

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