Next Congress and the White
House will practically see no changes: The second term President
Obama in the White House, the Democratic majority Senate in the
upper chamber of the federal legislature, and the Republican
majority House in the lower chamber of the legislature.
Unlike
the first term, however, the President is likely to push very
aggressively comprehensive immigration reform for two reasons:
Firstly, this is a sort of mandate imposed on him in this election.
Secondly, he will have nothing to lose from being aggressive
because this is the last term he can run for the White House.
What does this mean to the direction of immigration reform? Piecemeal
immigration reforms, particularly employment-based immigration
reform, are likely to face a steep uphill battle. Why? For the
comprehensive immigration reform forces, piecemeal immigration
reform legislation will weaken the chances for comprehensive
immigration reform legislation.
The results of this election
have reinforced such dynamics. Advocates of employment-based
piecemeal immigration reform should come to grips with the political
reality and learn to work within the dynamics by realizing importance
of negotiation and compromise rather than antagonizing other
forces.
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