Friday, June 7, 2013

USCIS Prediction For August To October 2013 Visa Bulletin

For official July 2013 Visa bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-visa-bulletin.html

For August 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/visa-bulletin-august-2013.html

Department of State released their prediction for August to October 2013 Visa Bulletin. Please see details below: 

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:
  • F1: Up to five weeks
  • F2A: Could become “Current” at some point during the coming months.
  • F2B: Four to seven weeks
  • F3: Three to five weeks
  • F4: Three to five weeks

EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)

Employment First:  Current 

Employment Second:

Worldwide:  Current

China:  Up to two months

India: At this time it appears that the availability of “otherwise unused” Employment Second preference numbers will allow for movement of this cut-off date in August and/or September. It is expected that such movement will generate heavy new applicant demand, primarily by those who are upgrading their status from the Employment Third preference category.  A sustained level of heavy demand could impact the cut-off date at some point during fiscal year 2014.


Employment Third:

 Worldwide:  No additional movement. This cut-off date has advanced 18 months during the past three months. Such rapid movement can be expected to generate a significant amount of new demand, with the impact not being felt for three to five months. Therefore, the cut-off date will be held until it can be determined what level of demand is to be expected, and whether it is likely to be sustained.

   China: No additional movement

   India: Up to three weeks

   Mexico: No additional movement

   Philippines: Up to two weeks

Employment Fourth: Current

Employment Fifth: Current 

Important Note: 

The above projections for the Family and Employment categories are for what is likely to happen during each of the next few months based on current applicant demand patterns.  Readers should never assume that recent trends in cut-off date movements are guaranteed for the future, or that “corrective” action will not be required at some point in an effort to maintain number use within the applicable annual limits.  The determination of the actual monthly cut-off dates is subject to fluctuations in applicant demand and a number of other variables.  Unless indicated, those categories with a “Current” projection will remain so for the foreseeable future.

130 comments:

  1. All the quota will be wasted. This system is screw up!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i am a permanent resident i'm about to make a petition for my wife . so how long time it will pass to have her here in u.s.?

      Delete
    2. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  2. Hi amazon, are we expecting any retrogresion for the ebr philippines this coming october (new fiscal year)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am guessing you mean EB3 Philippines. Based on current data, there is no retrogression expected in EB3 Philippines.

      Delete
  3. My PD is Oct 2008 EB2 India, Can I expect by end of this year dates to be current ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will be adding a blog post about this.

      Delete
  4. July 2013 VB is very baffling. what happened to all the spillover from other categories that all the sources were making references to. Can't understand EB3I is moving but not EB2. Does anyone get it?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, I don't get it myself. I thought all unused EB visas would be dumped into EB2-I first, where every visa will be licked up due to a ruthless backlog in that category.

      Delete
  5. Well my p.d is 8 June 2013 f4 visa .. according to this prediction it may be current in Comming 3 months... Can you plzz tell me the estimated month in which I will be scheduled an interview at the consulate if my p.d becomes current in maybe august or maybe even september ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Embassy will contact you once PD is current. If you dont hear from them, please call them.

      Delete
    2. Please see this link for more details (please scroll down to Visa Interview):

      http://travel.state.gov/visa/immigrants/types/types_1306.html

      Delete
  6. dampened hopes....PD March 15th EB2 India... :-(
    Amazon is there any chance for getting EAD this year?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry PD is 15th March 2008 EB2 India

      Delete
    2. It is likely to reach around Feb 2008 - Apr 2008 in Aug/Sep VB.

      Delete
  7. It is probably difficult to say but is there really a significant change that EB3 ROW will retrogress to a date before 1/1/2009 (the 7/1/2013 cut-off date)? What happens if I file my adjustment the beginning of July and they retrogress the cut-off date to a date before my PD of 9/2008? Do they handle the cases based on when they receive them or based on the PD?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB3ROW could slightly retrogress in Sept VB (if demand is higher). Once I-485 is filed, USCIS will continue to process them based on receipt date.

      Delete
  8. let's all kick the butt and go back to India. No hopes really. This system is literally waiting for everyone to convert to EB2. And EB2 will become another EB3.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Let me know what the tickets are ranging from, when you do decide to go back to India. Venting here doesn't help son. Amazon is doing a phenomenal job in keeping us informed here. Get on Kayak.com and roll out. Tons of you all here anyways.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous please don't be this heartless. Umazhankar is only venting his pains and he has not said anyting against Amazon.

      Don't be rude on Amazon's behalf because in his good nature to help out in our sufferings, I'm sure he would not reply the way you have.

      Perhaps you have not waited for years yet!

      Delete
    3. duly noted. Apologies rendered.

      Delete
    4. Thank you guys.

      Umashankar: EB2 India is expected to reach around Feb 2008 in Aug/Sept VB. We will be adding blog post for this soon.

      Delete
  9. what will happen if your f2a pd becomes current but haven't received noa2 yet?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can contact USCIS (phone number on right side of this page) and asked them to open a service request. This is assuming your case is outside the average processing time. Here is the link to find out:

      https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

      Delete
  10. My PD is July 5 2001 in F4 category. Any chance of it becoming current any time soon ???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different countries would have different dates.

      Delete
  11. Hi,

    I would like to know PDs applied in which year(s) may become 'current' according to the following:

    F2A: Could become “Current” at some point during the coming months.

    According to July VB, PD of Oct-11 is current now. So, during August-October period, can we hope for PDs to move by 4 months in each bulletin or may be even faster?

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current means that in Aug/Sept VB, dates could move to Aug 2013 (instead of Oct 2011)

      Delete
    2. Thanks for the reply. Pardon my ignorance but does that mean applicants of all PDs from 2011 to 2013 could be granted green cards before the end of calendar year 2013? That would mean clearing MANY applications in a short time as per my understanding. Is this right? I am an f2a applicant from India, PD in 2012.

      Request you to please provide info or links that describe the procedure once PD becomes current, regarding any further docs to be submitted, how long will it take for gc to be issued etc.

      Thanks.

      Delete
  12. Hi Amzon, My PD is November 19th 2007 EB2 INDIA.

    Is there any chance getting for GC in FY 2013.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB2 India could move to around Feb 2008 in Aug/Sept VB.

      Delete
  13. Hi Amazon,
    Thanks a ton for all your advice and service. You may not realize but you are a life saver. Can't thank you enough.

    2 quick questions:
    1. Does this mean that F2A (for all countries and India) would move 2 years from 2011 to 2013 in 2 MONTHS and become current?
    2. If that does happen, will it stay current or is there a chance it could retrogress in Oct. or future visa bulletins?

    Really appreciate your help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. Yes. It could be be current in either Aug/Sept VB.

      2. Depending on heavy demand, it is likely to retrogress. Please see this post (scroll down to F2A section):

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/analysis-visa-bulletin-july-2013.html

      Delete
  14. Hi Amazon,

    My PD is March 2009 EB3 Row. What is your prediction on when will be current?

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi W, We are currently working on this. Once its ready you can visit the GC calculator to get estimated date.

      Delete
  15. Dear Amazon,

    My PD is January 5th, 2011, EB2NIW China. Do you think there is any good news for me in the next fiscal year? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  16. Even if the Aug/Sept VB gets the PD current for EB2I, there are less chances to get the GC (EAD/AP yes), if in Oct the dates retrogress ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Since the current processing time is 4-8 months (or more), USCIS might not be able to approve all NEW I-485 applications in just 2 months.

      Delete
  17. hi amazon, my pd is october 6, 2006 EB3PH. Am i current on the next visa bulletin? when can i expect a call from embassy?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should hear back when the PD is current. If you do not hear back, please call them.

      Delete
  18. My PD is May 2009 ROW. When do you think my PD date will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different categories (EB and FB) would have different dates.

      Delete
  19. Hi Amazon if my F2a for worldwide priority date is 31 December 2012 do you really think it could become current by December 2013

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. F2A category could be current in Aug/Sept VB. You may not have to wait till December 2013 :)

      Delete
    2. thank you so much for your reply I do have one more question my spouse who has sponsored me shouldn't he get some sort of response from USCIS in regards of providing an Affidavit of support to the NVC

      Delete
    3. You can call USCIS to find out. Their phone number is on right side of this page. Once you call them, ask them to open a service request to check your case status.

      Delete
  20. hi amazon,mine too pd is dec 2012,and i believe it will be current very soon,but still dont have noa2,what to do?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. my pd is oct 2012, havent receive noa2...

      Delete
    2. wondering what will happen to our petition,if our pds become current without our noa2

      Delete
    3. First you have to check whether your application is within the average processing time. Here is the link to find out:

      https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

      If it is more than the average time listed, you can contact USCIS (phone number on right side of this page) and asked them to open a service request.

      Delete
    4. thank you so much amazon...

      Delete
    5. is it possible they will approve it (noa2) before our pds become current?

      Delete
    6. Only USCIS can answer that. :)

      Delete
  21. My PD is January 2006 EB2 India. Disappointed by July 2013
    Visa bulletin. Is there a valid reason why spill overs didn't apply to EB2 India in July 2013 Visa Bulletin?. Any hope my PD becomes current in August 2013 bulletin?.Thanks in advance.!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB2 India could move to around Feb 2008 in Aug/Sept VB.

      Delete
  22. Amazon, I was disappointed to see that there may be no movement in EB3 ROW for August to October. My priority date is April 01, 2009. My question is: based on the current outlook, when do you predict my priority date will become current? My concern is that my son will be turning 21 in Feb of 2013 and I am worried my priority date won't become current before then. Is there any chance that the predictions for next month can change? Please advise.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry ... I meant Feb 3 of 2014

      Delete
    2. Thanks for the update. You have enough time for PD to be current and I-485 application to be processed. We are currently calculating how far EB3 can move.

      There is a small chance of spillovers from EB2 category in Sept VB (which could make dates move forward). The blog post will be out in few days.

      Delete
    3. Thank you so much for your reply. I have found this site to be very helpful and I appreciate you taking the time to answer our questions/concerns.

      Delete
  23. Hello amazon,

    i am from india and in f4 category.My PD is 1st august 2001.Can you tell me approximate which month it will take to become PD-Current??
    I am waiting for this moment from past 12 years.I am following you from a long time.It will be great for me if you reply

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  24. hi amazon Help! I am so confused right now I am a F2a ROW my pd is December 2012 my petitioner who is my spouse is a permanent resident so will he still have to file the I-485 form if so when my pd becomes current how long after will I get my GC

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. mine is also dec 2012,did you get your noa2 already?

      Delete
    2. First you have to check whether your application is within the average processing time. Here is the link to find out:

      https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

      If it is more than the average time listed, you can contact USCIS (phone number on right side of this page) and asked them to open a service request.

      Delete
    3. consular processingJune 14, 2013 at 11:03 AM

      I am also in the same situation - F2A India PD Sep 2012 and petitioner is LPR. Since I am not in the US, I believe the way to GC is through consular processing in my case. Would like to know more on that please.

      Delete
    4. consular processingJune 15, 2013 at 12:32 PM

      I have one more question - checked processing time archive for CSC and am quite baffled at what I saw. From Nov 2012 until April 2013, processing time is the SAME (Sep 3, 2011) for f2a category.Only in May 2013 has it moved forward, and that too very very marginal (it has moved to Sep 23, 2011). Can somebody please explain what does this mean?Is the CSC too slow in processing or does it mean there were hardly any f2a applications to be processed?

      Looking at the archive data of CSC has really pulled out the fizz generated in the last few days that f2a may get current very soon. I really hope there is nothing dreadful.

      Delete
    5. It could also mean both: (a) CSC has a lot of different types of application to process (F1, F2A, etc) (b) There werent too many applications to process. Hence F2A category could be current in coming months.

      Delete
    6. consular processingJune 16, 2013 at 7:02 AM

      Thanks Amazon. Just gathered info regarding processing times at Vermont Service Center - it has jumped by almost 13 months to Feb 2012 after being stuck at Jan 2011 for a long time. I just hope CSC follows suit and help all who are eagerly waiting for f2a to get current :).

      My question now is - does NVC process our papers only after CSC displays a date that is past our PD?

      Delete
  25. what exactly is noa2 is it the notice of action that tells you your application was accepted or is it a second notice if so I have only received my first notice and nothing else

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. noa1 is the acceptance,noa2 is the approval

      Delete
    2. when is your priority date?

      Delete
    3. my priority date is 31 December 2012

      Delete
    4. mine is 27 dec 2012,still dont have noa2..

      Delete
    5. If you are not sure what is NOA2, please see this forum post:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum/default.aspx?g=posts&t=17

      Also see my answer above (if you haven't received NOA2 yet).

      Delete
  26. Hi All, My PD is Dec 20th 2007 under EB2I I have filled 1485 etc. got EAD and renewed it as well. What is likelihood of getting GC this year. Is there any chance to get RFE at this stage ? I am not very clear as how to read the I485 inventory and spill over ? Thank you all for your advise.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will be adding a blog post in few days. You can read the articles on right side of this page (under popular news).

      Delete
  27. Dear Amazon,
    my case is F4 from all charge ability area,with PD 30 october 2002. when do you estimate my PD become current?
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  28. Hello Amazon I must commend you on a job well done. I just have one small question I live outside of the US my spouse filed my I-130 in December of 2012 and my petition was accepted if my PD becomes current soon what will be the next steps for me and my petitioner

    ReplyDelete
  29. Hello Amazon I notice that the Vermont Service Center has not updated their processing time , do you have any updates for I 130 Permanent resident filing for spouse

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. USCIS lists the latest processing time on their website (linked above). If there are no changes, they do not seem to update the last modified date.

      Delete
    2. consular processingJune 16, 2013 at 7:13 AM

      Hi Anonymous,

      Latest processing time at VSC is 13-Feb-2012 for F2A category. Hope this helps.

      If you are looking for something more recent than that, then we will have to just wait :)

      Delete
  30. hi amazon that's for the reply I noticed that Vermont Service center's undated is for march 2013 which indicates that they are at 13 Feb 2012 for I-130 permanent Res. filing for spouse whereas my PD is Dec 2012 what would be your views on this do you think my petitioner will be getting a NOA2 soon Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It means they are currently processing applicants with PD of Feb 2012. You will have to wait till it reaches Dec 2012. You can also try calling USCIS and open service request (thought they may ask you to wait till PD reaches Dec 2012).

      Delete
  31. amazon ive read ur blog about visa wastage... poor thing... so many applicants for family based category, then still have visa wastage... they used allot those visas for fb applcants... one more thing why vermont servce cntr is feb 2012 already... and california is still sept 2011... 5 months diference? thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The reason could be there are more cases in California service center compared to Vermont service center. A year back they did transfer case around to improve processing time.

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum/default.aspx?g=posts&t=19

      Delete
  32. amazon, on case we file I 485... do we need to file also the affidavit of support ? or it will be filed when interview is near

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Are you in EB category or FB category?

      Delete
  33. amazon, in case the petitioner doesnt have work at the moment... can we consider joint sponsor? how does it work? or our application will be denied bec of that?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There are many details missing. Could you kindly post this in the forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum

      Please include which category/country you are in. Is it for I-130 or I-485 filing, etc.

      Delete
  34. Hi Amazon,
    My category is F2A, my PD is June 2012. I am a Filipino but my wife addressed my petition she filed for me here in Spain where I live for 6 years now. What country of chargeability will reflect on my case, will it be the PD in the Philippines or Spain? Do these two countries have the same current priority dates? my wife already received noa2 but i haven't received mine yet. will i have the chance get a visa before the year ends? thank you. God bless...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Country of chargeability is typically your (or your wifes) country of birth/citizenship.

      If you or your wife citizenship is from Philippines, than your country of chargeability will be Philippines. Your country of residence is not important.

      You can also call your local NVC center (or USCIS) to find the current status of your F2A application. There is a link on right side of this page where you can also check your case status online.

      Delete
  35. EB3 : My PD is August 2007, became current in May 2013 bulletin, due to illness filing of I-485 got delayed. Finally lawyers have filed this week. Question is if in the Aug 2013 bulletin PD's retrogresses, will my application still be considered. Does August 2013 bulletin go into effect as of 1st Aug 2013, of will I have a problem?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. USCIS first priority is to work on cases whose PD is current. If they have time, they also work on cases whose PD have retrogressed.

      August VB is effective from Aug 1.

      Delete
  36. My PD is June11 2011 EB2 India.Can you predict when can I expect my PD to get current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Based on current data, it is not possible to estimate that far.

      Delete
  37. Hi Amazon,
    There was a prediction that EB3 row in VB will keep moving upto 3 weeks but it did not move at all in august. What is the reason for it. Charles did not worked out it correctly.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Charles predicted that EB3 ROW would not move at all till Oct VB. Please see the blog post above.

      Delete
  38. Hi Amazon,

    Please tells us the EB3 row is going to stuck again as it used to be a year before. If not then how much is anticipated to move further in sep. VB.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will have to wait for I-485 pending inventory to get an accurate idea of demand in EB3 ROW. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
  39. My parents are on a visit to us on visitor visa. I was checking their passport and found no I-94 attached in them and my dad's passport has allowed visa date while my mom's passport has only entry date. The officer perhaps missed to put allowed visa date. Now my questions are 1)why their passports do not have I-94? 2) Will there be any problem to mom leaving the country if no port visa is there? 3) Do I need to take care of it now?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey you do not need to worry about it as long as you make sure they leave the country by the allowed visa date stamped on your dad's passport meanwhile apply for the I-94 for them, you will receive it in a 3 to 4 weeks period.

      Delete
    2. The reason for that is I-94 is been converted to electronic format. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/03/updated-i-94-document-been-converted-to.html

      Delete
  40. Hi Amazon,

    Can you please tell when PD Feb.10,2003 will be current for INDIA? Your reply will sooth some pain of long wait. I tried your calculator it tells around august but the date did not move in august. One more thing I noticed your visa bulletin information for EB3-India tells 15Feb.,2003, while Govt. VB tells Ja.22,2003. why this mistake.

    Thanks,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EB3 India is likely to move 1-3 weeks in Sept VB.

      15 Feb 03 was the prediction for Aug VB. It actually is Jan 22.

      Delete
    2. Thanks a lot Amazon---VM

      Delete
  41. Hello, I realized through one of the posts above that the september bulletin might go as far as April 2008 PD. My PD is end of May 2008. Can I expect this PD date to get current in October or November. Thank you!- Swetha

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014.html

      Delete
  42. can you please give me advice. my pd is april2003 can I go to usa this year?thank you in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Each category and country may have different dates. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  43. Hi Amazon my pd is oct 1st 2010 Family based F1. Do u think my will come soon.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  44. Hi Amazon,

    My PD is July 17th, 2008. When do you think I will get lucky?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014.html

      Delete
  45. F3 category, PD Oct 6, 2003. According to your link (http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/september-2013-visa-bulletin-predictions.html) September's predictions are that they will be at PD for Jan 22, 2003, what's my possible interview date. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  46. I am on ROW EB3 with PD Jul 26 2008. My PD is current and 1-485 has already been filed in Dallas on Jul 26th 2013. My question is do you anticipate the priority dates getting retrogressed? Also.. how long would it take for me to get my GC from this point?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
  47. My 485 AOS was filed a couple of weeks ago. There is a possible job offer from another company that I would like to move to... is my status transferable at time? If I do move to the new company would they have sponsor me again and refile from the beginning? Also let's say I wait it out and stayed with my current employer .. when is the soonest I can switch jobs without jeopardizing my GC status or future citizenship?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  48. My PD is may 25 2001 in F4 category. could you tell when interview will be ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You will have to wait for PD to be current.

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  49. Blog post comments are currently closed. Please post all new questions in immigration forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum

    ReplyDelete

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