For July 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-visa-bulletin.html
EB1 categories continues to remain current. Though EB1 China and EB1
India have already used up their annual quota (and currently using visas
from EB1 ROW since January 2013), this category should continue to
remain current this fiscal year. However this would affect amount of
spillovers to EB2 categories.
EB5: This category
continues to remain current. Since demand is 75% higher than last
fiscal year (according to Charles Oppenheim), the amount of spillover to
EB2 category would be much lower than last year.
EB4: This category continues to remain current.
EB2 ROW: This
category continues to remain current. Due to expected EB/FB spillovers, we do not expect this category to retrogress. However, due to
retrogression in EB2 ROW last year, it would be consuming more visas
than it did last fiscal year.
EB2 India: As per Charles Oppenheims predictions, there was (again) no movement in this category. You can read this article on why EB2 India is not moving forward since May 2012. However EB2 India should FINALLY move forward in the August and most likely September visa bulletin (due to EB spillovers). We will be adding a blog post on this soon.
EB2 China moved forward by only 3 weeks this month. Since EB2 China has
already reached 2008, all of the EB/FB spillover from EB1, EB4 and EB5
should go to EB2 India. EB2 China is likely to move forward at 6-9 weeks per month.
EB3 ROW: EB3 ROW
had more demand than expected (400 in demand data). Hence the dates moved by only 4 months in July VB. This category has moved exactly 1.5 years in last 3 visa bulletins. Since it takes a while for USCIS and DOS to gauge the real demand (long processing time, people filing it later, etc), DOS would likely not move dates forward for next few visa bulletins. There is a small probability that date could retrogress slightly in September VB. It is very likely to start moving in Nov VB. We will continue to update as we get more details.
EB3 China: EB3 China also moved forward by 4 months. It is likely that EB3 China dates would continue to be ahead of EB2 China for remainder of FY 2013.
EB3 Mexico: EB3 Mexico also moved forward by 4 months.
Dates for EB3 China and EB3 Mexico should continue to be same as EB3 ROW.
Due to huge demand and as Charles Oppenheim predicted, EB2 India moved
by two weeks forward. On a positive side, it is continuing to slowly
move forward every month (unlike EB2 India). One of the reason of
forward movement could be people who are porting to EB2 India - thus
freeing up visas for others applicants in this category. Unlike China,
EB3 India is not likely to move ahead of EB2 India due to huge backlog.
Even if everyone ported from EB3 to EB2, their application would be open
in both categories (and Charles Oppenheim from Visa Office has
confirmed that they are been counted twice). EB3 India is likely to start moving at rate of 3 weeks per month to make sure all visas are consumed in FY 2013.
EB3 Philippines: This category got the smallest forward movement of just one week. On the positive side it should start moving at 2 weeks per month (same reason as EB3 India - to consume all expected spillovers)
Tip: If you don't know, Charles Oppenheim creates and publishes the monthly
visa bulletin. He works at Department of State (DOS) and is the Chief of
"Visa Control and Reporting Division".
The smallest movement of one week was in F1 Philippines, F3 Philippines and F4 Mexico.
F1 Philippines continues to move forward at very fast pace. It has moved 3 years in the last seven months; moving an average of 18 weeks every month. It is likely to move forward 5 months in September VB.
F2A Category: There has been a large amount of visas wasted in this category in FY2009, FY 2010 and FY 2012. To prevent this waste, DOS would most likely make this category as "current" in either August or September VB. This will help them build a "pipeline" of cases after applicants file I-485 applications. It is likely to remain current till Oct or Nov VB. Once enough demand has been generated, it is likely to retrogress back to around Sept 2012 and then continue to move forward slowly.
All other FB categories moved between 3 and 18 weeks.
Overall 18,000 visas were wasted in FB category in FY 2012. To prevent these wastes, dates are moving much faster in FB and some EB categories.
you know: Every year move than 1 million visas are allotted. Family
based categories get 66% - whereas employment based categories get only
14%. Learn more statistics here.
June 2013 Demand Data: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-demand-data.html
June 2013 Visa Bulletin: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/05/visa-bulletin-june-2013.html
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