Friday, July 12, 2013

Predictions: Visa Bulletin September 2013

For August 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/visa-bulletin-august-2013.html 

For September 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/08/visa-bulletin-september-2013.html

Please see below September 2013 Visa Bulletin Predictions (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:
  • EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
  • EB2 Rest Of World: Current
    EB2 China: 1-3 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
    EB2 India: It could move between Feb and Apr 2008. See article: EB2 India Analysis & Prediction.
  • EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 0 day. Please see article.
    EB3 India: 1-3 weeks
    EB3 Philippines: 2 weeks
  • FB categories: 1 week to 6 months
  • F2A: Current. Please see article.

Please Note: These numbers includes the 18,000 additional unused visas from FB category to EB category. USCIS have to use them up by September visa bulletin

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 15NOV06 15NOV06 15NOV06 08SEP93 01JUL01
F2A C C C C C
F2B 08JAN06 08JAN06 08JAN06 01APR94 01JAN03
F3 22JAN03 22JAN03 22JAN03 08MAY93 08DEC92
F4 08JUL01 08JUL01 08JUL01 01OCT96 22JAN90

Employment Based: 

Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C C C C C
2nd C 15AUG08 01FEB08-
15APR08
C C
3rd 01JAN09 01JAN09 01FEB03 01JAN09 08NOV06
Other Workers 01JAN09 22MAR04 01FEB03 01JAN09 08NOV06
4th C C C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs C C C C C


Also we will update this table as we get more numbers to crunch. If you are interested, the numbers above are based on following data:

Similar to EB3 category movement, we have added a blog post for EB2 category forward movement between August and October 2013. Please click here for FB category.

Recommended Reading:


More Reading:

Please click here for latest immigration news or see the right side menu for the latest analysis, news stories and other useful FAQ or USCIS links --> 

85 comments:

  1. Amazon,

    You said for EB 2 India it is between feb and apr so is it till beginning of april or to the end...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. How far EB2 India moves depends on (a) amount of spillovers from EB categories (b) rate of porting from EB3.

      Both of these can easily make dates move forward (or backward) by few months. Current estimate is Apr 15. This can easily change between Aug 1 and Aug 8.

      Delete
  2. Hi Amazon,
    My PD is Sep 15, 2008 (EB2 India). Any chances for that to be current this year. Based on your analysis for 2014 Fiscal year demand data.
    I am planning to change jobs in September and restart my filing and be ready for next July. Any suggestions.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014.html

      Delete
  3. Hi Amazon,
    My PD is Apr 10th 2008(eb2), I am in border line..Hoping for the best.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Amazon, Thanks for all you are doing, i have some questions, if you can please answer. thanks a lot.1.Why EB3 ROW stopped? or when do you think it will start to move? My PD is Apr.2011 EB3 ROW. when do you think i will be current? thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
  5. Hi Amazon,

    Our priority date is August 21, 2009 in the EB3 ROW category. When do you think it is going to become current? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will have to wait for I-485 pending inventory data form USCIS.

      Delete
  6. hi amazon pls can you tell me if my priority date will be current when the next cutoff date is out 10july2001 under f4 category please tell me and be bless thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different country have different dates. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  7. what do u mean by different country have different date please analise it for me in a simple word please.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you go to this link: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Just fill in your details and it will give an estimate when the PD may be current.

      Delete
  8. My priority date is current but uscis is saying that i have to wait for a while for my 1 130 to be approved as they are now in april i dont understand

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this blog post and various comments: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  9. Hi Amazon

    Hi

    My PD is Mar 7 2008 - NSC. I will be travelling out of country from Aug 8 - Aug 22. Not sure if this date would be current in Sep 2013, if any RFE will be issued between Aug 8 - 22. Most of the RFEs seem to be EVL related. If it is EVL type of RFE, I assume i can submit the response during Aug 8 - 22. Can you please advise what things i should be taking care for the Aug 8 - 22 window when i will be out of the country.

    Thank you !!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am guessing you are EB2 India. If you have a company lawyer, the RFE notice will go to them. They can respond back to RFE. You can also ask them to contact you.

      Delete
    2. Hi

      Yes, there is a company lawyer and the G28 is signed. In this case, what are the possibilities that the RFE is physically mailed to my home address and lawyer not getting a copy of it. I just want to make sure the RFE is not sitting in my mailbox when i am out of the country during Aug.

      Thanks for your reply. I assume it is around the borderline, is there a possibility of Mar 7 2008 to be current in Sep 13.

      thank you !!

      Delete
    3. Typically RFE are sent directly to lawyer. For EB2 India prediction, please see the blog post above for possible dates.

      Also see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014.html

      Delete
    4. hi amazone my f3 file became current in sep 2013 after it became current how long i have to wait for my green card i am in canada right now

      Delete
    5. Please see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  10. Hi,
    I am eb3 India with pd April 25 2007 ,my question is I was born on may 20th 1965 but my birth was not registered,I have tried to get a NABC from the concerned department but they are not issuing ,I have made an affidavit by my mother and uncle.is that ok.my school leaving certificate and passport shows the birthdate.please help to clear my doubts .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this: http://vsudhir.blogspot.com/2007/06/uscis-birth-certificate-requirements.html

      Delete
  11. I got my GC today , my PD date was May 2008 . Good luck to everyone

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Congrats Sabir and thank you for letting us know. So far EB2 India applicant with PD of June 2008 has also been approved in last few weeks.

      If you have some time, could you add your case to the tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker/? Thank you :)

      Delete
    2. forgive me. just curiosity. if the cut over date is 01JAN08, how May 2008 PD i-485 approved.

      Delete
    3. Maybe some people in USCIS office are expecting dates to move beyond May 2008 in September 2013 VB.

      Delete
    4. so sabir is from EB2 India right and did he receive Green card in hand as that is very interesting...

      Delete
    5. Yes I have got my GC in hand

      Delete
    6. Congrats Sabir. My PD is June 2008 EB2 India. Could you share on your procedure towards it.

      That will be really helpful to me & definitely for others too.

      Thanks.

      Delete
    7. Thanks again for letting us know Sabir. It gives hope to lots of applicants whose PD is after Jan 08.

      Delete
    8. Congratulations Sabir. Which processing center? Thanks for posting this, it gives so many of us hope :)

      Delete
    9. Please let us know which Service Center
      Thanks in advance and congrats

      Delete
    10. Hi Amazon,

      Not that I am complaining. This is great.How can someone whose priority date is not current get a GC? Am I missing something here.

      Thanks

      Delete
    11. Hi Sabir,

      Congratulations, Please discuss this with your lawyer to make sure the green card was issued correctly and not in error since your priority date was not current. USCIS can revoke your green card if they find out in the future even if it is completely their fault. You will be restored to I485 pending status and would not be able to work until you apply for new EAD. Your dependant's visa status could also be an issue. Talk to a reputed lawyer to see whats the best approach on whether to keep the green card or return the green card since your date of May 2008 might become current next month. See the articles of others who are facing similar situation.

      http://forums.immigration.com/showthread.php?213837-Got-485-approval-by-mistake-Urgent-please-help-me-out

      http://www.seyfarth.com/dir_docs/publications/WhentheGreenCardIsIssuedinError.pdf

      Delete
    12. USCIS is notoriously known for making mistakes like issuing green cards in error, but the law states they can revoke the green card issued in error.

      Delete
    13. They have been doing this for a long time (though it is rare).

      Delete
    14. i had another priority date in Aug 2006 for which the GC got approved .. Sorry guys and checked with my attorney she said everything looks good.

      Delete
    15. ok so both were false alarms. one basically sabir didn't check his PD as he has Aug 2006 PD and for the other person with June PD the USCIS was showed his PD as sep 2007 hence it was approved ,so don't know if there will be huge movement until June.Would be happy if it happens but now it looks like both were false alarms.

      Delete
  12. 9th year,PD is 3rd may 2010.No hope..(Almost 40 months).
    USCIS can give at last EAD :(

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Port to EB2, your best option

      Delete
  13. my pd is 1/23/2013 and current this month and recieved my aproval whats next?

    ReplyDelete
  14. EB2-I,PD Oct. 2007. USCIS recd response to RFE for I-485 (filed on March 16, 2012) on July 5, 13. Any idea when can I expect to hear anything about I-485 app? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can check case status online. The link is on right side of this page located under USCIS Links.

      Delete
  15. My priority date is 7Jan2008 EB2 India. Unfortunately, I missed to file 485 when mine got current last time. My Spouse is suffering is h1b issues. In August we just missed for 6 days only. I really wich it should move so we can get EAD at least.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Hi Amazon. Looks like the demand data is out on Oh law. How does this effect your predictions. Thanks!
    Swati

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is actually I-485 inventory data. It is different from demand data. Here is FAQ for I-485 pending inventory

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/faq-eb-i-485-pending-inventory.html

      Delete
  17. Hey
    My Priority date is India EB2 - Aug. 28, 2013.
    What do you think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. mine is Aug 11, 2008

      Delete
  18. Hey
    My Priority date is India EB2 - Aug. 28, 2009.

    What do you think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bleak this year. I would think Sept bulletin should go up to Aug 2008..level with China..After that, there may be movement for both EB2I and EB2C

      Delete
  19. My priority date is 25 Jan 2008. So you think it will definitely become current in Sep 2013 visa bulletin??

    ReplyDelete
  20. hi, pd eb3 phil dec 5 2006 any estimates? thanks...

    ReplyDelete
  21. My PD is Nov 2004 EB2 - I, TSC. I got an approval email y'day. Physical card should be arriving tomorrow.
    I would like to congratulate Sabir but I firmly believe there is either a mistake from USCIS or from Sabir..How can a May 2008 PD's green card be cleared..That too even before mine. My case was filed in July 2007. I had ported from EB3 to EB2 in Nov 2012 and was waiting for my dates to become current since they were stuck @ Sept 2004. Of course, I know USCIS has done crazy things before, but this looks too good to be true..

    ReplyDelete
  22. Just heard that the person who got approved with June 08 EB2I was issued the card in error(USCIS error) as PD said it is sep 2007 when his PD was june 15 2008.

    looks like USCIS bungled up.

    Sabir please check your pd to make sure you don't have same issue

    ReplyDelete
  23. My brother got I601 approval notice in march 2013, but still embassy says that the dont get anything from NVC...what should i do now ??? plz give me some advise

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Call NVC and ask them for update on the case status.

      Delete
  24. my pd is 01/23/2013 under f2a and recieved my approval last july 28 and current this august how long to wait to get my appointment and interview

    ReplyDelete
  25. Why they didn't publish the Sep Visa bullet in???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. AMAZON wats going on...any updates on SEPT 2013 Visa Bulletin

      Delete
    2. Amazon

      Thanks for quick turn around. My PD is May 21, 2008 under EB2. Do I stand any better chance.

      Delete
  26. They are taking too long to issue september bulletin!

    ReplyDelete
  27. Amazon

    Thanks for quick turn around. My PD is May 21, 2008 under EB2. Do I stand any better chance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Matt has posted numbers in September VB blog post comments.

      Delete
  28. Good work Amazon!!

    My wife is in Pakistan and her PD is Jan 30th 2013. I understand that PD is current for applicants living in US (Change of status).

    Do you think all this processing will some how affect international applications also?

    Thanks,
    Muhammad

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  29. Jun 2008 !!! woohooo Now can finnaly file!

    ReplyDelete
  30. EB 3 - Jul 2010 wowwwwwwwwwwww

    ReplyDelete
  31. Is this a mistake? the PD for EB3 row is July 2010. Meaning it advanced 1.5yrs?!?!?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, it moved by 18 months due to much lower demand than everyone expected.

      Delete
  32. VB is out!!

    Eb2I - 15 Jun 2008
    Eb3I - 22 Sept 2003

    My PD is 10Jun08...Finally I'm in :)

    ReplyDelete
  33. Congrats! My PD is Mar 14, 2008 and I'm in too! Good news :-)))

    ReplyDelete
  34. It looks like your predictions are way out. Check sepetember 2013 and advise what you see in next bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, the demand in some categories were MUCH lower than everyone (including USCIS/DOS) anticipated. They mentioned this in Sept VB.

      Since Sept VB is the last VB of the month, dates can sometimes swing wildly either forward or backward (based on actual demand).

      As you know USCIS does not release data on actual demand by category/country. It is an estimate based on 2-3 months old data.

      Delete
    2. I'm 11 AUG 2008. Should I keep my hope alive for Oct 2013 visa bulletin?

      Delete
    3. Thanks Amazon for your comments.

      Delete
  35. September Bulletin
    ====================

    EB2 India - 15JUN08

    EB3 India - 22SEP03

    http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_6050.html

    ReplyDelete
  36. Hi! Amazon,

    I have a question,last sept 6 my us employer informed me thru email that my H1-B petition was successfull and they received the approved petition by mail,Then after 3 days, they emailed me again ,saying that they are waiting for some necessary information from USCIS before they can provide me a start date and send to me the approved visa.They didn't mention specific documents that they need from or any discrepancies particularly.My question is how long again will it take to gain my H1-B?Do will take again another FY?hoping for your advised.TYVM

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It could take some weeks or months (depending on what they are waiting for). I would recommend talking to your company lawyer. They would be able to give a much better timeline.

      Delete
  37. Hi! Amazon,
    i hope you could shed light on some of my inquiries,My sponsor for H1B told me that the USCIS is requested for some of additional information.When i checked my case status update thru online.i found out that the status of my case is request for additional evidence response review and my sponsor provided already the documents needed.what is the possible cause for the RFE? How it will affect the decision?is it vital? or just a supporting documents only? I hope you could give me some notes on this matter.Thank you very much

    ReplyDelete

Comment Posting Tips:

1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

2. View or add your I-130/I-485/NVC case to GC Tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker

3. You can browse or post new questions in GC Forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum