Monday, November 11, 2013

January 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions

For December 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/11/december-2013-visa-bulletin.html

For January 2014 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/12/january-2014-visa-bulletin.html

Please see January 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions below (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:
  • EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
  • EB2 Rest Of World: Current
    EB2 China: 5 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
    EB2 India: 0 day. Please see article
  • EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 4-6 months. Please see article.
    EB3 India: 0 day
    EB3 Philippines: 4 weeks
  • FB categories: 1-5 weeks. Please see article.
  • F2A: 0 day. It is likely to remain at this date for next few months.

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 15DEC06 15DEC06 15DEC06 01OCT93 01AUG01
F2A 08SEP13 08SEP13 08SEP13 01SEP13 08SEP13
F2B 22MAY06 22MAY06 22MAY06 15APR94 15APR03
F3 22MAR03 22MAR03 22MAR03 08JUN93 01FEB93
F4 15SEP01 15SEP01 15SEP01 08NOV96 22JUN90

Employment Based: 

Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C C C C C
2nd C 15DEC08 15NOV04 C C
3rd 01FEB12 01FEB12 01SEP03 01FEB12 08FEB07
Other Workers 01FEB12 01FEB12 01SEP03 01FEB12 08FEB07
4th C C C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs C C C C C

If you have not done it, remember to add your case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/ tracker/

It would be very useful to understand how USCIS is currently processing cases. It would also help in estimating date movements in future VB.

We will update this table as we get more data. If you are interested, the dates above are based on following data:
  • Latest I-130/I-140/I-485 Processing Statistics (see link on right side) -->

Similar to EB3 category movement, we have added a blog post for EB2 category forward movement between August and  December 2013. Please click here for FB category.

Next Steps: If priority date is current and

1. If applicant is inside US, they will have to file I-485: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

2. If applicant is outside US, it will be sent to NVC: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/09/nvc-consular-processing-steps.html 

Recommended Reading:


More Reading:

Please click here for latest immigration news or see the right side menu for the latest analysis, news stories and other useful FAQ or USCIS links --> 

47 comments:

  1. Hi amazon.is there a possibility that when eb3 row reaches pd2013, the eb3 Phil will also move forward to 2008?thanx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Amazon, when do you think eb3row will reach 13pd? thx

      Delete
    2. EB3 Philippines movement does not depend on EB3 ROW movement. It depends on demand in each category.

      Delete
  2. Amazon, is there any chance that my priority date of 05/30/2012 EB3ROW will become current up to bulletin April/2014? My wife's OPT is good till June/2014, and we're hoping not to have to ask the employer to apply for her H1B in April. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think by April/2014 your pd will be current. But still it's not guaranteed so your wife better prepare to file H1B next year.

      Delete
    2. There is a good probability based on current data that dates could move that far. It depends on demand received in the next few months.

      Also fees for H1 has to be paid by employer. You should not have to pay it.

      Delete
  3. Amazon - Based on data/recent commentary from Charles O, is there any chance of F2A (India) category being retrogressed? I understand that date is not going to move any fwd for quite few months, but am more worried abt retrogression, so would be great if you could provide your thoughts.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi buddy till Feb march 2014 u can say f2a wont retrogress not sure but according to offical website it will remain sep 8th 2013.wat is ur PD

      Delete
    2. It is not clear yet. We will have to wait for data from USCIS to find out the demand in this category.

      Delete
  4. Hi Amazon & team, how confident are you in reaching 01FEB12 for EB3ROW for Jan14 VB? My PD is 26-JAN-12 so that'd be a fantastic news...

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi Amazon, do you think my PD (JULY 2007) will be current within 2014? Im under EB3- Philippines.. THank you :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you try to look at the EB3-Phillipines pending inventory, there are about 600+ applications for July 2007 as compared to the months between Dec. 2006 - June 2007, where they average around 200+, so it would be difficult to guess how far the movement goes once those applications have been processed. Maybe that's the reason why the 3-to-6-week movement for EB3-Phil is predicted to last until February, 2014 only, if you go by the information contained in the official visa bulletin.

      Delete
    2. To hayabusa, correct me if im wrong but i understand that each country is given 2800 visas(233 each month) and if u compare the demand data for eb3 phils w/c is around 2200, if u do the math, eb3phils has a pretty good chance ti advance this fy 2014.

      Delete
    3. For everybody's sake, I sure hope it advances that far. But for some reason, the entire batch of 2008 applications haven't even been accounted for as of the moment (most likely stemming from the visa bulletin incident of 2007), so we will have to wait until the middle of next year in order to gauge the real amount of demand data involved. Case in point: I know a few friends of mine with priority dates between Oct. 2007 to Jan. 2008, but if you look at the latest pending inventory dated Oct. 1, 2013, none of those applications have been accounted for as of yet.

      Delete
    4. In addition, the I-485 pending inventory only includes people who have filed I-485 application It does not include people with approved I-140 application (but did not file I-485) or those filing I-140/I-485 concurrently.

      Delete
  6. And how many demands are there for aug and sept 2007 for philippines eb3?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The data is still incomplete on that, if you check the PDF file of the latest pending inventory. They haven't even accounted for applications beyond September, 2007.

      Delete
    2. Demand for phils accdg to uscis as of jan 2013 is 2675. Pls see oct demand data.

      Delete
    3. Also I-485 inventory does not have complete data for all applicants till August 2007. It could be much higher (married, children, not filed I-485 application, etc).

      Delete
  7. Hi Amazon,

    First of all i would like to thank you for providing us all the these updates. My PD is Jan 2010 India. Any prediction when my PD will be current.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Your question is very simple check in GC calculator.

      Delete
    2. Your question is very simple check in GC calculator.

      Delete
    3. Hi Anonymous,

      I tried that and i am getting below message.

      "Based on December 2013 data, we are unable to provide an estimate."

      Delete
    4. What category are you?

      Delete
    5. Eb2 India Jan 2010

      Delete
    6. For EB2 India, there are to many unknowns to accurately estimate the dates.

      In the GC calculator page, check out the FAQ section. It would explain why dates cannot be (accurately) estimated.

      Delete
  8. hi amazon please tell me when my dates will be current 25 sept 2001 F4.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  9. Hello Amazon, do you expect Priority Dates for EB3 ROW July 2012 to be current by Feb 2014?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is a possibility. We will have to wait for some more data from USCIS. Since dates moved by a year, the demand could be very high.

      Delete
    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    3. Amazon..thanks for your inputs...great appreciate. Question: My PD 24FEB2012...what will be you best estimated on when becomes available?
      Thanks

      Delete
  10. Hello amazon.. do you have any idea about f4 india as i have my date april 2002 .. how long it going to take?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Once PD is current, check the processing time. The link to check processing time is also located in the same page.

      Delete
  11. hello Amazon good day! Can I ask if when will be the next visa publication be released, I mean the January 2014 VB..thank you so much.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Amazon..thanks for your inputs...great appreciate. Question: My PD 24FEB2012...what will be you best estimated on when becomes available?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  13. Again your predictions are wrong
    All Charge -ability Areas Except Those Listed
    F1 08DEC06 08DEC06 08DEC06 22SEP93 01JUL01
    F2A
    08SEP13
    08SEP13
    08SEP13
    01SEP13
    08SEP13
    F2B 01JUN06 01JUN06 01JUN06 01APR94 01MAY03
    F3 15APR03 15APR03 15APR03 01JUN93 01FEB93
    F4 01OCT01 01OCT01 01OCT01 01NOV96 01JUL90

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Do you have a link to the website that has 100% accurate Date Predictions?

      Delete
  14. Hi Amazon, why do you think that the F1 for Mex, has not been moved since October, still in 4 months in Sep 22 1993, can't believed

    I appreciate your opinion

    ReplyDelete
  15. Hi, Amazon, really appreciated your valuable information here.
    I have some questions regarding the possibility of EB2C downgrade to Eb3C since recently EB3C cutoff day move dramatically faster and far ahead of Eb2C. I am Eb2C with I140 approved and my priority date is 6/29/2012. Now the Jan EB3C cutoff date is 4/1/2012, which is close to my EB2 PD date. So I am wandering if I can downgrade to EB3 so that I can submit my 2nd I-140(EB3based ) and I-485 together if Feb EB3C cut off date make my PD current. Also Can I submit EAD/AP application for my spouse? Thanks a lot in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure, you can "downgrade" to EB3 China category.

      Delete
    2. Thanks. Normally how long will it take for 2nd I140 to be approved?
      Do you think EB3C will be ahead of EB2C for several months?

      Delete
    3. Thanks. Normally how long will it take for 2nd I140 to be approved?
      Do you think EB3C will be ahead of EB2C for several months?

      Delete
  16. I need help please .my case is f2a . my PD is October 9 I juste want to know when it's going to be possible for my priority date to be current..thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. please I need somebody to reply me.thanks

      Delete
  17. hi ,

    My PD on Jan 2014 this month so do you expect how many years will take to get GC is it 2 Years i am in EB3 ROW ?
    also any chance to became again like 5-7 years to get GC or it will be arround 2years

    ReplyDelete
  18. Hi my mom a usc file for me unmarried child over 21 my pd is july 2008 can u tell me how long more I have to wait for my gc
    please thank you

    ReplyDelete

Comment Posting Tips:

1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

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3. You can browse or post new questions in GC Forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum