Tuesday, January 14, 2014

March 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions

For January 2014 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/12/january-2014-visa-bulletin.html

For March 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/02/march-2014-visa-bulletin.html

Please see March 2014 Visa Bulletin Predictions below (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:
  • EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
  • EB2 Rest Of World: Current
    EB2 China: 4 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
    EB2 India: 0 day. Please see article
  • EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 0 to 2.5 months. Please see article.
    EB3 India: 0 day
    EB3 Philippines: 4-8 weeks
  • FB categories: 1-5 weeks. Please see article.
  • F2A: 0 day. It is likely to remain at this date for next few months.

Please Note: These numbers do not include the 10,000 additional unused visas from FB category to EB category.

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 22JAN07 22JAN07 22JAN07 08OCT93 22SEP01
F2A 08SEP13 08SEP13 08SEP13 01SEP13 08SEP13
F2B 22AUG06 22AUG06 22AUG06 01MAY93 22JUN03
F3 15JUN03 15JUN03 15JUN03 08JUN93 15FEB93
F4 15NOV01 15NOV01 15NOV01 15NOV96 15SEP90

Employment Based:

Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C C C C C
2nd C 08FEB09 15NOV04 C C
3rd 01JUN12 01JUN12 01SEP03 01JUN12 01JUN07
Other Workers 01JUN12 01JUN12 01SEP03 01JUN12 01JUN07
4th C C C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs C C C C C

If you have not done it, please remember to add your I-130/NVC/I-140/I-485 case to the GC tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/ tracker/

It would be very useful to understand how USCIS is currently processing cases. It would also help in estimating date movements in future VB.

We will update this table as we get more data. If you are interested, the dates above are based on following data:
  • Latest I-130/I-140/I-485 Processing Statistics (see link on right side) -->

Similar to EB3 category movement, we have added a blog post for EB2 category forward movement between August and December 2013. Please click here for FB category.

Next Steps: If priority date is current and

1. If applicant is inside US, they will have to file I-485: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

2. If applicant is outside US, it will be sent to NVC: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/09/nvc-consular-processing-steps.html

Recommended Reading:


More Reading:

Please click here for latest immigration news or see the right side menu for the latest analysis, news stories and other useful FAQ or USCIS links --> 

54 comments:

  1. Thanks Amazon. I hope the dates won't retrogress or slow down too much.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am assuming you are talking about EB3 ROW category - It is not likely. Though the data available is more than 90 days old. It would be helpful if USCIS/DOS decides to publish data every month.

      Delete
    2. hi amazon, good day to you. based on February 14 visa bulletin PD for EB3 Philippines is Apr. 15, 2007, my PD is Nov. 28, 2008. do you have any idea if when my PD becomes current based on Feb. 2014 visa bulletin. thank you.

      Delete
    3. Kabayan, we got same month and year of PD, there is a possibility that our category will be current this year, but still hard to predict when are we going to receive our GC. Remember, there are people who missed the boat during the July Visa fiasco and we dont know how many are those. let's just hope that this category will keep on moving forward.

      Delete
    4. Hi amazon, i'm wandering on why the GC calculator was not updated although the February 2014 bulletin was already released? Thanks...

      Delete
    5. It has already been updated. Let me know if you are still viewing old data.

      Delete
  2. Really curious why / how amazon you predict that EB3ROW / China / Mexico will move forward 0 to 2.5 months :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I suggest you to read the part where the article says: "the dates above are based on following data" (and then there's a list with the sources).

      Delete
    2. I have definitely read that, and that's why I'm asking because there is no new I-485 demand data released yet. Since in February the date has only been moved forward for 2 months, which means that the demand may finally start to rise, I would like to know how it's possible that the maximum moving for March could be 2.5 months.

      Delete
    3. Yeah, it is certainly possible. EB3 category has a supply of around 40,000 visas this year + around 3,000 spillovers from FB category.

      Typically when dates move forward, applicants do not immediately submit their application. Hence there is still a possibility of date movement. There are few other factors based on other data to show potential forward movement. Hence the expected movement is in that range. Hope this was helpful.

      Delete
  3. Why no movement predicted in EB3-ROW?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's either going to stay as is or move up to 2.5 months.

      Delete
  4. In F2A category, Does retrogression going to be in only
    Mexico or other countries as well in upcoming months? Please say something? I don't know number,demand etc. issue very well

    ReplyDelete
  5. HI Amazon. Thanks for the wonderful info. My I 130 filed on 9 Jan 2014 is in initial review at California Service Center. My husband is a greencard holder . How long is it going to take to be approved and what is the next step then??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you visit the GC tracker, you can checkout the average processing time for I-130.

      Link: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker

      Delete
  6. Kabayan, we got same month and year of PD, there is a possibility that our category will be current this year, but still hard to predict when are we going to receive our GC. Remember, there are people who missed the boat during the July Visa fiasco and we dont know how many are those. let's just hope that this category will keep on moving forward.

    ReplyDelete
  7. any indication when i-485 inventory will be released for Jan-14?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is likely to be released around middle of February.

      Delete
  8. my daughter's PD is 01 May 2007,what will happen now/then?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. nothing. just wait. her PD will be current in Aug 2035.

      Delete
    2. what's the category of your daughter? incomplete data..

      Delete
  9. Do you think my pd oct 2007 eb3 phil will be current soon? Thank u

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No one knows just wait...

      Delete
  10. Hi amazon.do u think eb3 phil will move up to 2008 by may 2014? What do you mean of a big jump from this category?tnx

    ReplyDelete
  11. hi there my PD is Aug 06 2012 (ROW) on EB3 - can anyone tell me when i can be current ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should be current in the next couple of bulletins. Worst case scenario is by end of summer '14.

      Delete
  12. also i think the GC calculator for PD is not accurate - can someone fix it ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Can you give some more details on what is not accurate (PD, country, etc)

      Delete
  13. Do you think my pd oct 2007 eb3 phil will be current soon? Thank u

    ReplyDelete
  14. There is a BIG MESS with the I-485....Expecting huge delays. USCIS recalculating processing times. Most people applying from sept-13 already reached the 4th month average time in "acceptance" status.

    EB3 Row, forget progress.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The average processing time varies from service center to service center. An I-485 that is being processed by the Texas Service Center will take an average of 8 months.

      That said, I would not be surprised if processing times get a little worse in the near future as the number of people filing I-485s increases due to the huge forward movement in EB3 cutoff dates.

      Delete
  15. Amazon what can you predict for Eb3-philippines for the next 2 months visa bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
  16. Yes Amazon, pls. Give us a little hint for the next 2 months for eb3phil.tnx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi amazon, it only move 2 weeks.Is it really true it will jump on the next visa bulletin? Thanks

      Delete
  17. Hi Amazon, I am from India and my husband is a LPR. I got a Case completion notice from NVC on Dec 30th 2013(for F2a category). Can you please tell me how long does it typically take to schedule interview in mumbai consulate? What if the dates retrogress before scheduling my interview? Do I still be eligible to get GC?

    Thanks in advance for your help.

    ReplyDelete
  18. I have read that, and that's why I'm asking because there is no new I-485 demand data released yet. Infect in February the date has only been moved forward for almost 2 months, Its means that the demand may finally start to rise.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, demand has increased a lot after dates moved forward by around 4 years in EB3 ROW, China and Mexico categories.

      Delete
  19. Hello Amazon...With the latest demand data that came out and Eb1,5 filling up in addition to EB3to2 porting.. do you think EB2 India June 20th,2008 PD will get current this year? I missed applying the first time and have been praying for the second chance...Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  20. This is so strange- why the USCIS isnt publishing the inventory data in Jan 2014. Jan is almost over.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They may be super busy processing cases and battling snow storms :)

      Delete
  21. hi our pd is 6 feb 2002 and category is f4 we are from pakistan do you have any clue that when will our pd become current

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  22. Just received IL F1-INDIA, PD: 29 JAN 2007.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Could you add your case to GC tracker. This would be helpful to everyone.

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker

      Delete
  23. family category Mexico 3rd preference it has been predicted to move to June 8 1993 for at least 3 months, Just wondering whats holding it back????

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Higher number of applicants with that PD, since DOS is limited to quota set by INA.

      Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/01/eb-and-fb-green-cards-alloted-in-fiscal.html

      Delete
  24. I am a Nigerian, my mother filed a petition for me in Feb 2006 on category F2B, and then she was Legal Permanent Resident
    In July 2009, I got a letter from NVC telling me my petition has been approved.

    In Nov 2010, my mom became a US citizen and I got married in Feb 2011.
    In June 2011 I got a choice of address and agent form, Affidavit of support (AOS) processing fee bill Invoice from NVC

    My mom notified NVC about my marriage, they requested for my wife's Birth certificate and our marriage Certificate, this was sent in August 2011. In slept 2011 they replied telling me, my request had been received the priority date was still Feb. 2006 but preference category changed from F2B to F3

    I went online to check my status, it was post decision activity, and this was the same status it was before I included my wife in my petition. It was exactly 8yreas yesterday the application was submitted
    My question is this; how long do we need to wait to get our visa number and when will our petition be current?
    Responses will be appreciated

    ReplyDelete
  25. March bulletin os out...

    ReplyDelete
  26. Why does Eb3 phil move only 2 weeks? We are expecting for 2 months...So sad

    ReplyDelete
  27. How can i know, my document is summit in KCC for second letter, please suggest!!!

    ReplyDelete

Comment Posting Tips:

1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this GC Calculator: http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

2. View or add your I-130/I-485/NVC case to GC Tracker: http://www.mygcvisa.com/tracker

3. You can browse or post new questions in GC Forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum