Wednesday, June 12, 2013

August 2013 Visa Bulletin Predictions

For July 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-visa-bulletin.html

For August 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/visa-bulletin-august-2013.html

Please see below prediction for August 2013 Visa Bulletin (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:
  • EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
  • EB2 Rest Of World: Current
    EB2 China: 7 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
    EB2 India: It could move to around Feb 2008 in Aug/Sept VB. See article: EB2 India Analysis & Prediction
  • EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 0 day
    EB3 India: 3 weeks
    EB3 Philippines: 2 weeks
  • FB categories: 1 week to 4 months
  • F2A: It could be current in Aug/Sept VB. See article: F2A Analysis

Please Note: These numbers includes the 18,000 additional visas (spillovers) from FB category to EB category. USCIS seems to have slowly started applying these spillovers to EB categories.

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 01JUL06 01JUL06 01JUL06 01SEP93 01DEC00
F2A C C C C C
F2B 01FEB06 01FEB06 01FEB06 01FEB94 15FEB03
F3 01NOV02 01NOV02 01NOV02 22MAY93 15DEC92
F4 15JUN01 15JUN01 15JUN01 01OCT96 22JAN90

Employment Based: 

Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C C C C C
2nd C 01OCT08 01JAN08 C C
3rd 01JAN09 01JAN09 15FEB03 01JAN09 15OCT06
Other Workers 01JAN09 01MAY04 15FEB03 01JAN09 15OCT06
4th C C C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs C C C C C


You can enter the August VB contest and win prizes. All you have to do is simply guess one date. Its very simple. Enter Contest: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum/

Also we will update this table as we get more numbers to crunch. If you are interested, the numbers above are based on following data:

Similar to EB3 category movement, we have added a blog post for EB2 category forward movement between August and October 2013.

Recommended Reading:


More Reading:

Please click here for latest immigration news or see the right side menu for the latest analysis, news stories and other useful FAQ or USCIS links --> 

69 comments:

  1. All F2A category could be current!! Awesome!!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Amazon , your prediction are awesome ,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Will F2A remain Current for some time?

      Delete
    2. It is likely to remain current for few months to build pipeline of cases. Please see the F2A analysis link above.

      Delete
  3. How do you estimate EB2 Ind to reach Sep 8, 2007?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will be adding a blog post on this in few days.

      Delete
  4. If EB2 India is Sep 8, 2007 in August. What is the prediction in September..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Cant wait, can you?

      Delete
    2. We will be adding a blog post on this in few days.

      Delete
  5. Thanks a lot for posting on Facebook. That's where I get the alert that something got posted here. And Thank You very much for working on this site.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you anonymous. Sometimes we forget to post on FB. You can occasionally check the site: http://ww.mygcvisa.com

      Delete
  6. Hi, I hope you can help me. If F2A is current next month, do you think it will remain that way?
    I filed the 1-130 for my husband, with a priority date of May 8, 2013. I see that they are still approving September 2011 i130's though. What does that mean for me? Will I have to wait for 2 more years till the i130 is current? Please help!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i have similar question,my PD OCT 2012 if it becomes current in next month what is that means

      Delete
    2. my pd is also oct 2012... have u receive ur noa2? thanks

      Delete
    3. Hi anonymous, for first question please see this link (you can scroll down to F2A section):

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/analysis-visa-bulletin-july-2013.html

      For second question, it means they are currently processing I-130 cases with PD till Sept 2011.

      Delete
  7. How can EB2 China be 01OCT08 while EB3 China is 01JAN09? They are giving priority to people with less education?!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is just a greater demand for EB2 china. Each EB category is only allotted a certain amount of visa's. You must also consider those porting over from EB3 to EB2.

      Delete
    2. Just a fyi, EB3 does not necessarily mean the person is less educated. This is a common misconception.
      It is up to the employer to decide what is the minimum education/experience needed for a particular position. That is the information used to determine if they will file for Eb3 or Eb2.
      A person might have a Masters degree with 5 years of experience. But if the position requires (as determined by the employer), only a Bachelors degree and 0-2 years experience at minimum, the employee's application will be filed in Eb3, and not Eb2, though technically the employee has all the credentials for a EB2 applicant.

      Delete
    3. Just to chime in: Employers decide whether Masters degree is REQUIRED for that job description. So if masters degree is not required but the person has masters degree, they would file in EB3 category.

      Very few jobs in IT really REQUIRES a MS degree.

      Currently the demand in EB3 China is lower than EB2 China. In few months, EB2 China will be ahead of EB3 China.

      Delete
  8. what if my f2a pd becomes current but still no noa2 yet,what will i do?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If any of your petitions are outside the service center's reported processing times, you can call the customer service (number on right side of this page) and ask for a formal inquiry into your case.

      Check current processing time:

      https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

      Delete
    2. amazin, i know that usually it takes 2.5 years for f2a to be completed... my question is, since f2a will be current soon, does it mean our waiting time will be shorten? thank uu so much

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    3. If F2A is current in next two VB, you would only have to file I-485 and wait for USCIS to process the application.

      Delete
    4. Quote: AmazonJune 15, 2013 at 11:03 PM
      If F2A is current in next two VB, you would only have to file I-485 and wait for USCIS to process the application.


      Questions for Amazon: So Can I fill the form and submit it now just to be ahead in the line?? Let us say the the PD for F2A becomes current in August 2013 Visa Bulletin puiblished on July second week. So can I send the application for I485 right in july 2013 second week? Or do I have to wait till August 2013 and then mailout the application?

      Please clarify!

      Delete
    5. If PD becomes current in Aug VB, USCIS will not accept I-481 application before August 1.

      Please see below for more details on I-485:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  9. glad to see EB2 India finally moving. My PD is March 13 2008 EB2 India...Really stressed out whether I will get EAD this FY

    ReplyDelete
  10. What is all the madness today with people around 2007 and early 2008 dates getting RFE's? Can we assume all those people are going be current soon?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is unusual to have so many RFEs coming out. This could be due to June 3 memo from USCIS. Dates for EB2 India is expected to move by 3 years in the next two VB.

      Delete
  11. Hi Amazon great news on F2A. Here´s my question. I am a US resident filing for my wife and her PD is 12/22/2011. She has a valid B1/B2 Tourist Visa that gives her up to 6 months of legal stay in the US. Is there a way for her to not go through the embassy and all the immigrant visa thing and have the interview here?? Can she apply for AOS with the type of case we have???
    Thanks very much for your time.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this article:

      http://www.peerallylaw.com/en/content/view/562

      Delete
  12. Hi Amazon my PD is Sept 2007 EB3 Philippines. 1-140 got approved.

    With all these influx of RFE news going around I decided robust check our case online and was surprised to see my 1-140 is back to initial review even if it were already approved? I even have a copy of the approval notice? Should I be worried and anticipate for my RFE or should I be excited and anticipate that my PD will be current In the next visa bulletin?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I would recommend calling USCIS and asking them to check why the status changed for I-140 application. It could be a system error.

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  13. what is RFE please? thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. RFE is Request for evidence.

      USCIS issues RFE when they want more documents from applicants (such as birth certificate, photos, marriage certificate, I-94 copies, etc).

      Delete
  14. amazon, ive checked f2a movement for the past years and it will be the frst time for f2a to be current ? am i correct ... dont kno id its a good thing for f2a filers or can lengten our waiting time ...thnks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If F2A becomes current, yes, it would be first time in recent years that it happened.

      The waiting time depends on the volume of application received by USCIS. If they dont move dates fast, then many FB visas would be wasted. Last year USCIS wasted over 18,000 visas in FB category. You can read it here:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb-category-to-receive-18000-additional.html

      Delete
  15. Hello Amazon, when do you think the EB3 ROW will keep moving on again? After September?

    ReplyDelete
  16. It mostly likely feel as if you miss the boat during FY2013 there could be hardly no movement in FY2014 because of unknown factors such as porting.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes that is very likely since porting from EB3 is currently using up all available quota allocated to Eb2 India (2802 visas).

      Please also see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014-part2.html

      Delete
  17. Hi Amazon,

    I checked on trackit xls the RFE was recd by at least 10-12 applicants for March 2008. Does that mean that there are high chances that the COD would move as far as March 2008 in Aug/Sept VB ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Amazon,

      Thank you for the reponse,

      There are very few, maybe only 1 E2BI applicant in August 2008 that has recd RFE ?

      Delete
    2. Dude tackitt has around less than 10% of EB2 India. For other categories (eb3row, FB, etc), its less than 0.1% - 1%. Dont rely on data from there. It is a small sample size.

      Delete
    3. Majority of RFEs are around March 2008 PD. There are very few RFE for PD upto August 2008. So there is a higher probability that dates could move to around March 2008.

      Delete
  18. Hello Amazon,
    I am EB3 India "derivative" of my parent's greencard. I am currently over 21 but still qualify as under 21 due to CSPA. My question is: If my I-130 is filed and then when F2A becomes current, will I be able to use my CSPA age (of under 21) towards my NEW I-130 to qualify as F2A? If I cannot then I will be F2B which will be useless but if I can that would be awesome. That way I may not need to wait for my I-485 EB3I to be current but can take advantage of F2A being current.

    I hope you say this is possible and/or send some helpful links on those lines. Thanks a ton.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Since CSPA rules are complex and changing, I would recommend talking to good lawyer about this. They would be able to review your case and provide proper guidance.

      Delete
  19. Hello amazon, im on f2a PH and my PD is march 2012. I just recieved my NOA last june21 2013. if the f2a becomes current this august, will it affect my process? will it lengthen my waiting time for the next step?

    much thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  20. hi everyone is there anyone who got noa2 who's priority date is between June to December 2012 for f2a category filled at Vermont Service center and their petitioner is a green card holder

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You should post this in the forum: http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum

      Delete
  21. Hi Amazon,

    My PD is August 23, 1993, F3, Philippines. when is our category becomes current..waiting for almost 20yrs already :(

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  22. My priority date is jan 17,2013 for F2A. Its still in initial review. It's been sent to california service center. Does this CURRENT applies for my case, please? How long will it take to send to NVC? please help me.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Hello everyone!I came to USA on visitors visa 10 days back..and I want to get married to my girlfriend who is a Green Card holder.Initially I was planning to leave US after getting married and wait for consulate proccessing in my home country BUT as the priority date of F2A has become Current..can I stay in the USA and apply for Adjustment of Status??If someone could help me with this regard I would be very thankful..I dont have much time left!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You need to talk to lawyer. USCIS can consider this as fraud since visitor visa has a non immigration intent.

      You can definitely marry and file I-130 petition. But you may have to go back. A good lawyer would be able to help you with this (or even avoid going back).

      Delete
  24. Hi
    Thank you very much for your predictions. It is very close to what came out. Could you please let me know when do you expect May 2008 PD in EB2 to get current?

    Thanks again

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/eb2-india-prediction-2013-2014.html

      Delete
  25. Hi Amazon, Could you please help me in this issue...My priority date is jan 17,2013 for F2A. Its still in initial review. It's been sent to california service center. Does this CURRENT applies for my case, please? How long will it take to send to NVC?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are inside US, you can file I-485 application. If you are outside US, you would have to wait for I-130 to be approved. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  26. hi Amazon my pd is May 2012. My husband is a LPR. I am living outside the US. Hw long should it take for me to receive my NOA2. my file was transfered to Vermont on July 9.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. its July 9 2013

      Delete
    2. Each service center have different processing time. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete
  27. what are your predictions of EB3 rest of the world in coming month of september 2013
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
  28. I have made F2A I-130 application on 8th June 2012. When should this become current. The application is with California

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/fb-category-frequently-asked-questions.html

      Delete