For July 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-visa-bulletin.htmlFor August 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/07/visa-bulletin-august-2013.html
For September 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/08/visa-bulletin-september-2013.html
For October 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/09/visa-bulletin-october-2013.html
Please see below October 2013 Visa Bulletin Predictions (for both Family Based and Employment Based):
- EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
- EB2 Rest Of World: Current
EB2 China: 3 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
EB2 India: It could either stay at 15JUN08 (to generate porting demand and apply future estimated spillovers) or retrogress to around 08APR05 (date based on July demand data). Please see article
- EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 0 day. Please see article.
EB3 India: 0-2 weeks. There is 40% chance of retrogression.
EB3 Philippines: 0-2 week. There is 40% chance of retrogression.
- FB categories: 1 week to 4 months Please see article.
- F2A: It is likely to retrogress to around May 2012 to Nov 2012.
Please Note: These numbers do not include the 18,000 additional unused visas from FB category to EB category. USCIS have to use them up by September 30. All annual quota will reset back on Oct 1. EB category will have 140,000 and FB category will have 226,000. October 2013 Visa Bulletin is valid from October 1.
|Family-Sponsored||All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed||CHINA- mainland born||INDIA||MEXICO||PHILIPPINES|
|F2A||01MAY12 - 08NOV12 (see notes below)|
|Employment- Based||All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed||CHINA- mainland born||INDIA||MEXICO||PHILIPPINES|
|Certain Religious Workers||C||C||C||C||C|
|5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs||C||C||C||C||C|
October 2013 visa bulletin is start of new fiscal year 2014. All visa spillovers would be used by Sept 30 and quota would reset on Oct 1.
F2A Category: F2A category is also expected to retrogress in Oct VB. The actual retrogression date depends on two factors: (1) how many cases were received and processed by USCIS by Sept 30 (2) how many cases are pending with older PD. If there are lots of cases which have older PD still pending on Oct 1, F2A could retrogress further (Apr 2012 to July 2012).
EB2 India, EB3 India and EB3 Philippines: Movements in these categories depends on how many visas were consumed by Sept 30. If USCIS does not allot all spillovers by Sept 30, dates for these categories could retrogress in Oct VB (since there will be more cases pending than expected).
EB3 ROW/Mexico/China: There is a high probability that dates could retrogress in Nov/Dec VB. The actual cutoff date in Nov/Dec VB would depend on how many applications were received by Oct 10 (Nov VB would typically be released around Oct 10).
EB2 India movement depends on which of the three options Charles Oppenheim is comfortable with. If his estimates are not correct, EB2 India could become unavailable in 2014. Please see article
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We will update this table as we get more numbers to crunch. If you are interested, the numbers above are based on following data:
Similar to EB3 category movement, we have added a blog post for EB2 category forward movement between August and October 2013. Please click here for FB category.
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