Monday, May 13, 2013

Predictions: Visa Bulletin July 2013

For July 2013 Visa Bulletin, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/july-2013-visa-bulletin.html

For August 2013 Visa Bulletin predictions, please click here: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/06/august-2013-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

Please see below prediction for July 2013 Visa Bulletin (for both Family Based and Employment Based):

Quick Summary:
  • EB1, EB4, EB 5: Current
  • EB2 Rest Of World: Current
    EB2 China: 10 weeks (still behind EB3 China)
    EB2 India: TBD. See article: EB2 India Analysis & Prediction
  • EB3 (ROW, China, Mexico): 5-6 months
    EB3 India: 2 weeks
    EB3 Philippines: 9 days (due to very high demand)
  • F1 to F4: 1 week to 4 months

Please Note: These numbers includes the 18,000 additional visas (spillovers) from FB category to EB category. USCIS seems to have slowly started applying these spillovers to EB categories.

Family Based:

Family-Sponsored All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 15MAY06 15MAY06 15MAY06 22AUG93 08JUN00
F2A 01SEP11 01SEP11 01SEP11 01AUG11 01SEP11
F2B 22AUG05 22AUG05 22AUG05 01AUG93 22DEC02
F3 22SEP02 22SEPT02 22SEP02 08APR93 08DEC92
F4 08MAY01 08MAY01 08MAY01 22SEP96 22DEC89

Employment Based: 

Employment- Based All Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed CHINA- mainland born INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C C C C C
2nd C 01OCT08 TBD C C
3rd 01FEB09 01FEB09 22JAN03 01FEB09 01OCT06
Other Workers 01FEB09 01DEC03 22JAN03 01FEB09 01OCT06
4th C C C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C C C C
5th Targeted Employment Areas/Regional Centers and Pilot Programs C C C C C


Also we will update this table as we get more numbers to crunch. If you are interested, the numbers above are based on following data:

What are your predictions for July 2013 VB? Let us know in the comments below.


Recommended Reading:


More Reading:

Please click here for latest immigration news or see the right side menu for the latest analysis, news stories and other useful FAQ or USCIS links --> 

195 comments:

  1. USCIS should just copy and paste this as the official visa bulletin. :-)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That would be awesome. We won't have to wait anymore for one more month for the next visa bulletin.

      Delete
    2. I agree with you, guys. I just hope that EB3ROW will not retrogress afterwards. Still need to see it moving forward :)

      Delete
  2. Amazon....The last two Visa bulletins you have been right on the money for EB3-I! My PD is January 17, 2003 for EB3I...How confident can I be that I will be current in the July visa bulletin?

    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Based on current data, I would say start preparing for I-485 application filing.

      This article would be very helpful:
      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  3. Hi, My priority date is in December 2009, Is there any possibilities that this will be current in next few months?
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello Amazon. My question is, there seems to be a lot of unused visas in the EB1, 2, 4 & 5 categories for EB-Philippines. Does this mean they will start trickling down to EB3 now that there are only 3 months left in the fiscal year? And will these unused visas be allocated EXCLUSIVELY for EB3-Philippines, or will they be shared to other another retrogressed country like India?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Since I had replied to your earlier post, I will copy/paste from that:

      EB spillover rules are little different. The flow is EB4 + EB5 --> EB1 --> EB2 --> EB3

      When the spillover reaches EB2 category, it would be first consumed by EB2 India. Once dates for EB2 India is same as EB2 China, then both EB2 India and China would consume spillover equally.

      As along as all countries in EB2 is not current, EB3 category would not get any EB spillovers.

      FB spillover rules are different and EB3 Philippines would get 361 extra visas this year. Please see this article for more details:
      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb-category-to-receive-18000-additional.html

      Delete
    2. Oh man, this is just so sad. I checked the demand data for EB3-Philippines and it looks like there would still be an estimated 2800 cases left for EB3-Phil once they allocate the 361 FB spillover and 233 visas per month for the remaining 3 months of the fiscal year. Does this mean that those with PDs of 2007 will never get anything at all for fiscal year 2014 because they are only allocated 2800 EB3 visas?!? I thought each country was only limited to 7% of the 140,000 EB visas!

      Delete
    3. Demand data contains only preadjudicated (approved) cases. To get real demand look at the I-485 pending inventory. It would give you a more accurate idea.

      However the pending inventory does not include consular processing (CP) cases (which is typically 15% of 140,000 total visas). So you will have to consider that too. To make it more interesting, CP cases are included in demand data.

      Also the 7% per country is only when deciding the initial VB cutoff dates (and for FB spillovers). It does not apply to EB spillover. The rules are different.

      Hopefully this is not confusing. There are many things to look at to get an accurate picture and many data released by USCIS is few months old. This directly affect future estimates for many countries.

      Delete
    4. Man, this just keeps getting worse and worse. Just based on your best judgment and assessment, when will those with January-March 2007 EB3-Phil PDs become current?

      Delete
    5. We are currently waiting for updated data (I-485 pending inventory) from USCIS.

      Delete
    6. To clarify on EB spillovers: When EB2 gets spillovers from EB1, each country is initially limited to 7% visas.

      If all other countries in EB2 (EB2 ROW) are current and do not need visas, then it would flow to most retrogressed country in EB2 (which is EB2 India).

      You can see the (complex) rules here:

      http://www.uscis.gov/ilink/docView/SLB/HTML/SLB/0-0-0-1/0-0-0-29/0-0-0-992.html

      Delete
  5. Hi, My priority date is in December 2009-- EB3, Is there any possibilities that this will be current in next few months?
    thanks


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different countries would have different dates.

      Delete
  6. Not taking under consideration CIR can we hope for EP3 ROW will be current in year ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EP3 = EB3 Philippines?

      We are waiting for updated I-485 pending inventory from USCIS. It is very unlikely that all EB3 categories would become (and remain) current. The updated pending inventory would give a good idea of current demand.

      Delete
    2. Not Philippines just ROW.

      Delete
    3. Based on current data, it is not likely to be current this year. The updated I-485 pending inventory would give a much better estimate.

      Delete
  7. my pd is July 12, 1993 on a fb2 from Mexico, wow this should help me..

    ReplyDelete
  8. im under f2a category... do you think retrogression is possible bec of the big jump? (hope it wont)

    ReplyDelete
  9. Thank you for the wonderful job on this site. It has been really helpful. I really like the way you present facts with figures.

    As per this http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb2-india-analysis-and-prediction.html it appears EB2-I will receive spillovers next month. Do you think SEP-2006 will be current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very likely. We are waiting for updated data from USCIS.

      Delete
  10. Thanks a lot for all the info and comments you have provided. What are your thoughts on when EB3 ROW will reach Aug 2012?

    ReplyDelete
  11. Dear Amazon,
    my PD is April 2011 in EB3 and i am from Turkey, when do you think my pd will be current, please. thank you for all you are doing.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Insallah soon! Basarilar ;)

      Delete
    2. It is currently too early to estimate. WE are waiting for updated data from USCIS to get an idea of new demand.

      Delete
  12. Amazon, your blog is awesome and checking it out has become part of my daily routine. My PD is 03/31/09; is there any indication that in the next VBs this will become current?

    One last thing, the inventory is as of 01/15/2013; isn't there a new inventory that should be coming this month? Any indication when that'll be coming out.

    BC

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi BC, different categories and countries will have different dates.

      New inventory would probably be released around May 27-28.

      Delete
    2. Right... missed the EB3-ROW. Any thoughts for this?

      Delete
    3. We will have to wait for I-485 pending inventory to get a good estimate. It is likely to be current in August VB.

      Delete
  13. Amazon,
    Thank you very much for taking your time and updating the website.

    My PD is 02/02/2009 in EB3 ROW(JAPAN) based on your prediction, do you think I have a chance getting my GC this year? Since my I-94 will expire in Jan 5th 2014.

    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You will most likely reach your PD In July or August according to the demand data, cheers.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous #2
      What demand data? The demand data for July VB is not released yet.

      Delete
    3. EB3ROW is expected to reach 15FEB2009 in July VB. So you should be fine. It takes about 4-8 months to process the I-485 application. EAD is typically processed in around 3 months.

      Please see this for more details:
      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
    4. Thank you very much!

      Delete
  14. Is it possible that the EB3 ROW category will reach early 2010 PDs by September 2013 before the start of the fiscal year in October ? if there were 5-6 months movements each month in July - September

    ReplyDelete
  15. EB2 India - PD of Feb 2006, you think next bulletin will make me current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is possible. We are waiting for updated data from USCIS to get an estimate of current demand.

      Delete
  16. hola.. hablan espanol aqui?

    ReplyDelete
  17. EB2 India - PD of Sep 2008, you think next few bulletin will make me current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We are waiting for updated data from USCIS to get a good estimate.

      Delete
  18. I am from Argentina my Priority Date is 06 February 2002 for a F4 Visa, I have been waiting for more than eleven years and the last three months F4 Visa didn´t move in the Visa Bulletin. When this is going to be "current"? Any comments?

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hi Amazon,

    Thank you for crunching all the data and i am very appreciating to your efforts... this page is very helpful.
    My current PD is 03/06/2009 ROW (Hong Kong). Based on your prediction and answer to a few other person who also has March 2009 PD, you expect the it will be current in August. However, you also mentioned retrogress. how would it affect the chance that i will have my PD current in August?
    Also i am planning to get marry this year and my gal friend is a Canadian. I heard that i can also file her as my wife when i file I-485 so that both of us can get GC same time. Is this true?
    Million thanks in advance to your reply.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We have updated the FAQ for possible EB3 ROW retrogression and how it could affect I-485 application. Please see the link below:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Adding a spouse: Yes. If you can get married and add her as a dependent BEFORE the I-485 application is approved, it will be fine. If your I-485 is approved before she is added, then you will have to petition in the FB category.

      Since you could be current in July/August VB, you have two choices: (1) Get married (Congrats) and add her as dependent (b) or you can postpone filing I-485 application.

      You can file I-485 anytime as long as PD is current.

      Delete
    2. thanks for reply.

      I checked your link above.. it mentions "The current I-485 processing time at NSC is 4 months. However it is over 8 months at TSC" Is 4 months at NSC or 8 months at TSC means the time that is needed for I-485 to get approved? or the approval will be shorter than the time mentioned?

      Delete
    3. Hi W, Those are the average processing time given by USCIS to process I-485 application and make a decision. It could be shorter or longer than that (depending on each case).

      If I-485 is filed in Texas Service Center, then the average time is currently over 8 months.

      Also there is an article on I485 processing statistics on right side of this page. That would give you an idea of how many pending applications are currently been processed by USCIS.

      Delete
  20. my priority date is oct2012 under f2a... when do u think it will be current? thank u... hope no retrogression for f2a...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this link:
      www.mygcvisa.com/calculator/

      Delete
  21. Hi, I have been reading your blog for long and I would like to thank you for your efforts. Just a quick question, my PD is Sept 2007/EB3 Philippines, is there a possibility it will reach my date once CIR take effect in August? if everything pushes through.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. CIR is currently in draft stage. It has to pass through many committees. No one knows when CIR will pass or what the final House and Senate bill will look like.

      Delete
  22. am from philipines eb3 with pd october 2007, when do u think i will be curret..thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  23. hi ... i noticed f2a movement on 2010 -2011... there's a big jump then after that, went down to 1-2 years... whats the reason of it? is it possible to happen again... notced that june 2013 moves forward for 3 mos... thank uu

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this article for EB3 categories. The same thing would apply to F2 categories:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
    2. thank you so much.. what do you mean by spillover... thnks a lot

      Delete
    3. For family based categories, there are no spillovers (since all categories are currently retrogressed).

      For employment based categories there are spillovers from family based categories and from other EB categories.

      Please see this article for more details:

      http://topimmigrationnews.blogspot.com/2013/02/eb-category-to-receive-18000-additional.html

      Delete
  24. Hello,

    My priority date is March 12th, 2005, EB2 India. I am going for consular processing in Canada. Any chance it will become current in next visa bulletin? Thanks.

    V.

    ReplyDelete
  25. My PD is July 2008 India, Is there any chance that it will be current in next few VB.

    Please reply.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is currently not possible to estimate that date.

      Delete
  26. My husband is EB-2 India priority date of Dec 2010. My question is:
    1) When do you think we will get our priority date?
    2) IF we get priority date and then retrogression occurs, will we still get EAD till the PD becomes Dec 2010?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. It is currently not possible to estimate that date.

      2. If you apply for EAD/AP card during I-485 processing, you will still get those cards (even if dates retrogress).

      Delete
  27. Do you know when we can expect the updated data (I-485 pending inventory) from USCIS?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If its this month, it would probably be around May 27-28. I would prefer USCIS release it around June 8, so that it includes thousands of EB3ROW applications between May 1 and June 8.

      Delete
  28. My priority date is Aug 25 2008 and from the just released visa bulletin cut off date, which is Sep 01 2008 I am eligible for my i-485, is that right. Now, my question is when can we start sending our application to uscis?

    ReplyDelete
  29. I-485 Employment-Based Inventory Statistics - updated April 2, 2013

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20Card/Green%20Card%20Through%20a%20Job/I-485%20Employment-Based%20Inventory%20Statistics/EB%20I-485%20Pending%20Inventory%20as%20of%2004-02-2013%20Final.pdf

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you for letting us know anonymous. We will have a blog post on this soon.

      Delete
  30. hi ,I am f3 from India .my mother made petition in nov2002,the same got approved injune2009.they asked for depositing fee in 2010,for me and my wife and not for my son,whose dob is august 1989 let us advise further action so that he goes with us,when our turn comes.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can directly contact USCIS or nearest US embassy (depending on your location) and ask them this question. They will be able to help you with filling any forms, fees, etc.

      Delete
  31. Hi,

    Did you receive the updated data from USCIS and what is the estimated date for EB2 India?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The I-485 pending inventory released by USCIS few days back is nearly 50 days old. It does not help much.

      Delete
  32. pls help me my pd is oct 31 2006 EB3 philippines, when will i expect that my pd will be current?thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Rough estimate would be around 3-5 months.

      Delete
    2. by the end of fiscal year what will be the possible current pd that is being processed in eb3 philippines?thanks

      Delete
    3. We are updating the calculator. It should tell you how far the dates could reach for EB3 Philippines.

      Direct link: www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
  33. F4 category has been stucked in the same date for the last couple of months, you think it will be possible to come up to this prediction date?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it is possible for F4 to reach that date in the July VB.

      Delete
  34. EB3I - Spill over from EB3 - ROW? As uscis still building up the inventory and the i485 processing time is still 4 months, Do you anticipate any spill to EB3 I in August and September Bullitens?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If EB3 ROW does not use up its annual quota, then following would be the spillover flow:

      From EB3 ROW, all countries would get equal spillovers (upto max 7% per country limit). If these are still not used up, then it would go to the most retrogressed counties (India and Philippines, in that order).

      In the second stage (above) when spillovers comes to India and Philippines, EB3 India would use up most (or all) of the spillover (since EB3 India is behind EB3 Philippines by many years).

      Once EB3 India and EB3 Philippines have same dates, both countries would get equal share of spillovers.

      We will have to wait for the demand data to estimate how much spillover will go to EB3 India and hence how far dates could move forward in last quarter for EB3 India.

      Delete
    2. Thank you for your reply. As the demand data is out. Any predictions on the amount of spill for EB3I from EB3ROW.

      Delete
  35. I m f2a PD 8-18-2011 mex. when do u think i will be curret..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this link:

      www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete
    2. have u receive your noa 2? im also under f2a... thnks

      Delete
  36. our PD is Aug2008 any clue when is it going to open again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different categories and countries would have different dates.

      Delete
  37. Hi my priority date is 20 may 2009 3 rd for employe categories. After my pd come take longer to get my employe autorization ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EAD card is typically issued around 3 months after I-485 is submitted. Please see the link below for more details:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  38. Over the last few years we have seen rapid forward movement of the PD in the EB3 ROW category followed by a considerable step back. EB3 ROW has gone from cut-off date 7/1/2007 to 9/1/2008 in VB 4/1/13 and 5/1/13. Hopefully it will move even more just like you predict.

    The same happened between VB 4/1/2007 and 9/1/2007 and again between VB 2/1/2008 and 10/1/2009. There always seems to be a movement back to the last month were the more regular progress ended.

    Based on the above is it possible that the cut-off date will go back to 7/1/2007 (VB 4/1/2013) which was the last month before the bigger jumps of 5/1 and 6/1/2013?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see the article below. It should answer all your questions:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      The last update talks about possible retrogression and date movements after that. Let us know if you have more questions.

      Delete
  39. Hi;
    Thank you for this information. My question is, over the past four months, the F4 category numbers have been stuck at May 1 2001. I have a PD of August 1 2001 under this category. Would you know why these numbers are stuck here? USCIS has asked us for all our documents which we provided a year ago. Also, when we filed the 485, I put my wife as a dependent. She is now filing under Employment Based 2nd category and she will include me in the application. If she includes my name in here application, will her green card and mine come out at the same time or will she then have to file another family based for me so that I go back to the F2A line?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1. The dates are not moving because the demand is currently more than the monthly quota from USCIS.

      2. If your wife includes you as dependent in EB2 category, you both will be typically be processed at the same time. She will not have to petition you again in family category.

      Delete
  40. My EB2 PD is in January 2006.
    What percentage of chances to get GC in July 2013
    Visa Bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am guessing it is EB2 India. It is very likely to pass that date in July based on estimated demand and spillovers.

      Delete
    2. Thanks for the response.
      yes it is EB2 India ported from EB3-EB2.
      Will there be any difference in GC issue
      in ported vs direct EB2 cases??

      Delete
  41. My EB2 PD is NOV2007, what is the likelihood of this date getting current in Near Future.

    Regards.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Are you EB2 India ?

      Delete
    2. Thank you Anonymous 2 for asking the question :)

      For EB2 India, it is currently not possible to estimate that far. Please see this article:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb2-india-analysis-and-prediction.html

      Delete
  42. My PD is already current(F2A).

    what is next? and how long will it take for the interview?


    thank you

    ReplyDelete
  43. Do you have any update for Eb3 row for July/?
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  44. My PD is March 2005 under EB2. Do you think it become current in next bulletin.

    ReplyDelete
  45. I ported from EB3-I to EB2-I around 10 months back. My PD is 21-dec-2004. How likely I will be current in July or Aug 2013 VB ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, it is possible in July VB.

      Delete
    2. Thanks a lot for quick response :)

      Delete
  46. My EB2 PD is July 2008 with a responded RFE. How likely will I be current in next couple of months?

    Also, can I expect any communication if my case is preadjudicated?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is possible for EB2 India to move that far in last quarter of FY 2013. USCIS does not send out any communication for pre-adjudicated cases. You can call them and ask them. Some L2 officer provide that information.

      Delete
  47. My PD is Mar 2007 you guys think , we can expect something in July Bulletin. Or Its going to be another speculative bulletin wait !!

    I know people post here to get some kind of comfort in people sharing similar thoughts. But day by day I am losing my hopes on the whole GC thing. We have wasted lots of money,time and stayed away from our loved ones (in India) all for the sake of american dream.

    I visited India recently, my peers who opted to stay in India are settled much better / happy. I am just venting my frustration here folks..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The spillover to EB2 India directly depends on how much visas were used in other EB categories. Please also see this article for EB2 India:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb2-india-analysis-and-prediction.html

      Delete
  48. MY PD is Oct 26, 2006,FTJ. When do you think it will be current?

    ReplyDelete
  49. EB3 Philippines.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Hi Amazon, you are doing an excellent job. I check your blog pretty much every day. There is a lot of talks going on EB2 India dates for July VB. My PD is Dec 2007. Do you think dates will jump to Jan 2008 as everyone has predicted ? If not, when do you think my PD will be current ?. Thank you again for providing lots of information and keep our hopes alive.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you anonymous. Yes it is likely for dates to move that far in last quarter of FY 2013. It completely depends on the spillover from other EB categories.

      Also see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb2-india-analysis-and-prediction.html

      Delete
  51. I have a EB3 PD of August 2007, I have a EB2 approved I-140 for 2010 (with different employer). Is there a chance that Aug 2007 for EB2 may become current during July-september -2013? So i can use the porting option?
    Thanks a lot for the wonderful blog. I am a big fan

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you. Yes, you can certainly port from EB3 to EB2. Please see this article:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/faq-eb3-to-eb2-porting-part-1.html

      Based on spillovers, it is likely for EB2 India to move that far.

      Also see this: http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/02/eb2-india-analysis-and-prediction.html

      Delete
    2. Thank you so much. This is keeping my hopes alive.
      Fingers and Toes crossed.
      Thanks for all the hardwork and taking time to respond to the query. Much appreciated

      Delete
    3. If you like, you can join us in EB2 India discussion at:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum

      Delete
  52. The PD of EB2 India, is stuck to one date for a long time, we r waiting to file our I-485, we already received our I-140, our date of filing was Aug 2008.
    Is there any chance within this year to get our GC?

    ReplyDelete
  53. I petitioned my son as F2a status when he was 18 hi s priority date was Nov. 2010,USCIS sent him a notice to go to US embassy manila for interview and Medical exam on Feb. 2013.Everything was done till during his interview the consular officer told him he is over age and no longer qualified for F2Astatus and should be in F2B status,isn't that USCIS should update his status to F2B automatically before sending him a letter for interview?It's frustrating experience because we spent a lot of money for airfare,medical fees,time and effort...can I claim for a refund for all the expenses?what should I do?is there a reconsideration for his case?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I would recommend contacting your local lawyer. They would be able to recommend accurate guidance after reviewing the case.

      Delete
  54. Im from the philippines and my EB2 PD is Sept.26, 2006, does that mean next month it will be current already? been waiting for this for a while now hoping it will come out now :)

    ReplyDelete
  55. I am EB3 ROW, my PD is 22 August 2009. Do you think they will reach this date in the next few months, or is it likely that they will hold or regress before my PD is reached.

    If I do reach my PD and file i-485, would I be able to change jobs after 180 days, even if the PD is reached, then regressed and no longer current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For first question, please see this article:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      You can change employers 180 days after your I-485 application is pending for 180 days or more. It does not matter if PD is current or not.

      Delete
  56. I know FB spill over rule, It gates equally distributed to each category . In that case
    e1:~5k
    eb2:`5k
    eb3 :`5k
    e4&eb5:~3k

    But if e1,e3 and eb4 did not use these numbers since they are current. Does that numbers go to eb2 category and further along how it will distributed to in EB2 india and china

    ReplyDelete
  57. No more "I'm Feeling Lucky" TM approach for EB3 ROW ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Since there is only few months remaining in FY 2013, USCIS is not likely to make EB3 ROW current in FY 2013.

      This could change in FY 2014. We will have to wait for updated numbers to calculate how much forward it could move.

      Delete
  58. I filed my EB2 I-485 in April 26, 2012. My PD is July 2009.


    I got my renewed EAD too, with 2 years extenstion, last month.


    Can we assume my case is pre-adjudicated as it crossed well, the normal processing time of 4 months? Now it has crossed almost 14 months.
    If you see the pending invemtory of I485 dated 4/2/2013 - EB2 India - Total is 42,978 .....> All these are before May 2010(Current in April 2012).

    If you see the demand data released on June 2013, EB2 India - Total is 42,925. So, mostly I can assume my case is preadjudicated.?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is possible that it could be preadjudicated.

      USCIS first priority is to work on cases which are current. Once they have more time, they can process cases whose PD is not current and preadjudicate them.

      Remember USCIS can still issue RFE for pradjudicated cases (if USCIS decides they want an updated document example employment letter).

      Delete
  59. My pd is 8 June 2001 for f4 visa ROW. According to u that's gonna be current in July.. my question on that regard is what happens once my pd becomes current ? Will the embassy contact me for an interview date ? Or will I have to contact them ? Usually how long is the gap b/w pd beginning current and the interview date ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please see this link for more details (please scroll down to Visa Interview):

      http://travel.state.gov/visa/immigrants/types/types_1306.html

      Delete
  60. Im from the Philippines my EB2 PD is sept. 26, 2006 if it is gonna be current next month and my green card still does not come out what will i do? please help tnx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you are EB2 Philippines the PD is already current.

      Assuming you are EB3 Philippines, you will have to file I-485 application once PD is current. For more details on that, please see this article:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  61. Amazon. It is June 6th, any new update for July VB for Eb3 Row. This month we have not received to much info from you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Alfred, sorry about not posting much. We have been working on getting the forum up and ready. Since we have over 1000 comments in last few weeks, it is easier to discuss on forum (since its built for that :))

      Demand data should be out tomorrow. I will add a post about that soon.

      Delete
  62. My EB2 India PD is sep 15 2010.I think it will take another 1 year to be current,so I am planning to go back to India for a year or so.Will there be any bad effect on my case or later can I come back when it's current and submit my documents? Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Assuming you have not filed I-485 application (and dont have EAD/AP), you should be fine traveling to India on H1/H4 visa.

      Delete
  63. EB3 will be moving forward at least 9 months.

    ReplyDelete
  64. Hi, Amazon, you are very knowledgeable for GC issue after reading your blog, because of Laywer's error, I should went to EB2C but indeed processed to EB3C, at this time in current visa movement status, do you think it is good to apply EB2C right away or stay as is EB3C (my EB3C PD is Nov 2010)? company (Same employer) told me they will process EB2C right away if I am OK, what do you think based on your judgement? appreciate, I feel EB2C and EB3C are in the same speed in next 1-2 years, or in other word, maybe current at the same time in Nov 2010? is it worth to port?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This is very interesting question. Every year EB3 (and EB2 China) get 2802 visas per year. We currently do not know the demand in EB3 and EB2 China between 2008 and 2010.

      If the demand is high in EB3 China, it could take much longer.

      If you port from EB3 to EB2, it would take about 6-9 months and cost USCIS fees (and any lawyers fees). Your case would be open in both EB3 and EB2.

      So the biggest factor is the USCIS and lawyers fees. If you are ok with that, you could go ahead and por from EB3 to EB2.

      Delete
  65. EB3-India.
    PD Jan 19 2003.

    Do you think EB3I will continue moving two weeks and I will be current in July?

    ReplyDelete
  66. sorry I made a mistake its EB3 philippines our PD is sept. 26, 2006. our 485 is already approved we were just waiting for the green card. what will happen if the green card still doesnt come out? what will i do?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I-485 application is the last stage of GC process. If it is already filed and approved, USCIS will contact you.

      If you have not filed I-485 yet, you should file it when the PD is current.

      For more details on that, please see this article:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
    2. If you are still confused, please join us at forum:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/forum

      Delete
  67. EB2I PD Oct, 2007. Any chance of this PD becoming current for July 2013 VB?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Per latest July 2013 VB, dates have not moved.

      Delete
  68. Any predictions on EB3-I based on DD. If demand of EB3-WW is less than 500 then does it mean the remaining monthly quota can be used to advance EB3-I?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If EB3ROW does not use up all quota (which is unlikely), other countries in EB3 category will receive all spillovers (upto 7% max per country). After that EB3 India will receive any remaining spillovers (till date is same as EB3 Phillippines).

      Delete
  69. My Priority Date is March 2011- EB2 India. what are the changes that it will become current in next few months/ next year.

    ReplyDelete
  70. my I-485 was filed in March 2012 (EB2 India) and fingerprinting in May 2012. How do I find out if my application is preadjudicated or pending?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can call USCIS. Some L2 officer can give that information out.

      Delete
  71. My priority date is Oct 2009 under EB3 India. My wife country of birth is UAE... If my priority date become current in July 2013 VB which is very unlikely, as you mentioned the dates will move 5 to 6 months not 13 months... :)

    Can I Cross Charge and use my wife country of birth? Any idea about it?

    Appreciate your response.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, since EB3 India is backlogged, you should cross charge it under EB3 ROW category.

      Delete
    2. Thanks!

      Bad luck. July VB EB3 ROW Dates moved only 5 months as you mentioned.

      Any idea about the August VB? I believe they may even stop moving the dates for EB3 ROW from August.

      Delete
    3. Dates should remain the same in Aug VB. It could retrogress slightly in Sept VB if demand is much higher.

      Delete
  72. Only in October 2013 VB, they will try to use the EB1 spillovers and so the EB2 will touch 1 January 2008 only at that time. This is my opinion

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. October VB is start of new fiscal year for USCIS. Hence they have to move dates before Oct so that visas are not wasted.

      Delete
  73. Hi are you able to leave your job as soon as the I-485 is filed? Or do you have to wait until this process is finished? I plan to leave my employer as soon as I get my GC, but if I can leave anytime before that without losing the GC, I would gladly do so.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Per AC 21 rule, you have to wait for 180 days after filing I-485, before you can change employer.

      Delete
  74. Hi amazon, what will happen when dates retrogress and you are current before that month when dates retrogress? Will you still be able to get processed? And when inget married do i have to change my last names on all my papers if i plan to include my husband in my petition case? Hoping for your reply. Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can file I-485 as long as PD is current. If PD retrogress, USCIS can still continue to process the application.

      There is no rule from USCIS that your last name should be same as your husband. They can be different.

      Delete
  75. July Bulletin dates have not moved for EB2. What an agony! End of Road ? will it move forward any by Oct?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is likely to move forward by few years in Aug VB. WE will be adding a blog post about this.

      Delete
  76. Hi Amazon,
    My priority date is Jan 7, 2009 EB3 ROW. It is just 6 days away from the current day in July 2013 VB. I am very sad because USCIS announces that they will hold the cut-off date from Aug-Oct. I am confident that when there is any movement (even though very slow movement), my date will be current.Do you have any idea when USCIS start moving date for EB3 ROW? . Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It could be Nov VB. It all depends on how many I-485 applications they received. Please see this:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/eb3-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

      Delete
  77. my priority is 8 june 2011 for f2a .when should I recived letter for an interview .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depends on how many applicants with PD before you. You can try calling the embassy to find out.

      Delete
    2. Is there a way to find out how many applicants have PD before us in any given year or month? In short, is there a way to know the number of F2A applicants from October 2011 to June 2013. Thanks.

      Delete
    3. It is possible in EB category. For FB category, USCIS does not release that data.

      Delete
  78. PD OCT 2008 for EB2 India. Any chance it'll become current in Aug VB?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will be adding a blog post about all EB2 categories.

      Delete
  79. My priority date is May 24, 2012. If the priority date for the F2A category becomes current does that means a visa will be made available for me in 2013?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It means you can file I-485 application when PD is current. USCIS takes about 4-8 months to process the application. Please see this link:

      http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2013/04/how-to-file-i-485-application.html

      Delete
  80. if I-485 is already filed and pending for over an year, how long would it take before I get teh GC? looking for a ballpark timeframe. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If it has been preadjudicated, it could be one week.

      Remember USCIS (at their discretion) can still issue RFE for preadjudicated cases. It depends on USCIS officer who is looking at the case.

      Delete
    2. Is it possible that it is preadjudicated even if PD is not current? My PD is Oct 24, 2007 under EB2 India.

      Delete
    3. Thanks, Amazon. It's weird but I received RFE notice on Friday. i'm yet to receive the actual letter. Not sure what to make of it. is my application being reviewed for preadjudication?

      Delete
  81. When will EB-2 India become current for my priority date which is in oct 2010.

    ReplyDelete
  82. My PD is June 2012. My husband is a PR. Any idea how long my case will take to complete and what's the next step after my PD becomes current?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Once PD becomes current, you have to file I-485 application or consular processing.

      To estimate when priority date can be current, please see this calculator:

      http://www.mygcvisa.com/calculator

      Delete

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